Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.2% implied probability for the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% at its April 30, 2026 meeting, reflecting sticky UK CPI inflation holding at 3.0% through March amid heightened geopolitical risks from Middle East conflicts that have lifted global energy prices. The MPC's unanimous March decision to maintain rates underscored a cautious, data-dependent stance, with recent inflation prints exceeding forecasts and labor market resilience curbing cut expectations. While strong positioning stems from balanced risks around the 2% target, a surprise downside in April CPI or faster conflict de-escalation could challenge the hold by prompting 25 basis point easing talks, though hike odds at 3.6% hinge on hotter-than-expected data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDecisione della Banca d'Inghilterra ad aprile?
Decisione della Banca d'Inghilterra ad aprile?
Nessun cambiamento 96.0%
Aumento 3.7%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base <1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base <1%
$448,612 Vol.
$448,612 Vol.
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
<1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
<1%
Nessun cambiamento
96%
Aumento
4%
Nessun cambiamento 96.0%
Aumento 3.7%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base <1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base <1%
$448,612 Vol.
$448,612 Vol.
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
<1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
<1%
Nessun cambiamento
96%
Aumento
4%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.2% implied probability for the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% at its April 30, 2026 meeting, reflecting sticky UK CPI inflation holding at 3.0% through March amid heightened geopolitical risks from Middle East conflicts that have lifted global energy prices. The MPC's unanimous March decision to maintain rates underscored a cautious, data-dependent stance, with recent inflation prints exceeding forecasts and labor market resilience curbing cut expectations. While strong positioning stems from balanced risks around the 2% target, a surprise downside in April CPI or faster conflict de-escalation could challenge the hold by prompting 25 basis point easing talks, though hike odds at 3.6% hinge on hotter-than-expected data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti