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Tecnologia·Ricompense 20, 4,5, 50

Migliore azienda cinese di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile?

Market icon
Tecnologia·Ricompense 20, 4,5, 50

Migliore azienda cinese di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile?

apr 30

apr 30

Alibaba 75%

DeepSeek 13%

Z.ai 6.8%

Moonshot 3.0%

Polymarket

$55,173 Vol.

Alibaba 75%

DeepSeek 13%

Z.ai 6.8%

Moonshot 3.0%

Polymarket

$55,173 Vol.

Alibaba avrà il miglior modello di IA alla fine di aprile 2026? icon

Alibaba

$12,885 Vol.

75%

DeepSeek avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile 2026? icon

DeepSeek

$9,560 Vol.

13%

Z.ai avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile 2026? icon

Z.ai

$6,191 Vol.

7%

Moonshot avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile 2026? icon

Moonshot

$5,629 Vol.

3%

ByteDance avrà il miglior modello di IA alla fine di aprile 2026? icon

ByteDance

$6,395 Vol.

1%

Baidu avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile 2026? icon

Baidu

$5,566 Vol.

1%

Xiaomi avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile 2026? icon

Xiaomi

$4,688 Vol.

1%

Meituan avrà il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile 2026? icon

Meituan

$4,260 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Alibaba a dominant 75% implied probability as the best Chinese AI company by April 30, 2026, propelled by its recent Qwen3.6 Plus large language model release around April 8, which scored 50 on the Intelligence Index—matching MiniMax-M2.7 and trailing only GLM-5.1 among open-weight peers—via enhanced agentic reasoning, reduced hallucinations, and 1M-token context. Alibaba's HappyHorse-1.0 also topped AI video leaderboards with superior Elo ratings in blind tests. DeepSeek holds 13% on hype for its delayed V4 model, expected late April using Huawei chips amid U.S. restrictions, while Zhipu AI (Z.ai) at 7% lags on GLM-5.1 benchmarks. Resolution hinges on final leaderboard standings like LMSYS Arena, with no major shifts in the last 48 hours.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$55,173
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Alibaba a dominant 75% implied probability as the best Chinese AI company by April 30, 2026, propelled by its recent Qwen3.6 Plus large language model release around April 8, which scored 50 on the Intelligence Index—matching MiniMax-M2.7 and trailing only GLM-5.1 among open-weight peers—via enhanced agentic reasoning, reduced hallucinations, and 1M-token context. Alibaba's HappyHorse-1.0 also topped AI video leaderboards with superior Elo ratings in blind tests. DeepSeek holds 13% on hype for its delayed V4 model, expected late April using Huawei chips amid U.S. restrictions, while Zhipu AI (Z.ai) at 7% lags on GLM-5.1 benchmarks. Resolution hinges on final leaderboard standings like LMSYS Arena, with no major shifts in the last 48 hours.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$55,173
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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Domande frequenti

"Migliore azienda cinese di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Alibaba" a 75%, seguito da "DeepSeek" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 75¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 75% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Migliore azienda cinese di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile?" ha generato $55.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 2, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Migliore azienda cinese di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Migliore azienda cinese di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile?" è "Alibaba" a 75%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 75% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "DeepSeek" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Migliore azienda cinese di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di aprile?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.