Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper faces Republican state Sen. Mark Baisley in Colorado’s U.S. Senate contest on November 3, 2026. Hickenlooper secured the Democratic nomination after defeating progressive challenger Julie Gonzales in the June primary, while Baisley ran unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean, Hickenlooper’s incumbency and fundraising edge, and limited national Republican focus on the seat. The closely balanced market probabilities around Hickenlooper’s margin reflect uncertainty over the final spread, driven by Colorado’s mix of suburban and rural voters, potential national political currents, and turnout patterns among core Democratic constituencies. Recent campaign finance reports and primary results underscore Hickenlooper’s organizational advantages, though modest Republican efforts could narrow the outcome if enthusiasm gaps emerge in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHickenlooper 30%+ 21%
Hickenlooper 25-30% 19%
Hickenlooper 15-20% 19%
Hickenlooper 20-25% 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Vittoria di Baisley
3%
Hickenlooper 0-5%
4%
Hickenlooper 5-10%
6%
Hickenlooper 10-15%
9%
Hickenlooper 15-20%
19%
Hickenlooper 20-25%
18%
Hickenlooper 25-30%
19%
Hickenlooper 30%+
21%
Hickenlooper 30%+ 21%
Hickenlooper 25-30% 19%
Hickenlooper 15-20% 19%
Hickenlooper 20-25% 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Vittoria di Baisley
$365 Vol.
3%
Hickenlooper 0-5%
$342 Vol.
4%
Hickenlooper 5-10%
$429 Vol.
6%
Hickenlooper 10-15%
$329 Vol.
9%
Hickenlooper 15-20%
$637 Vol.
19%
Hickenlooper 20-25%
$1,057 Vol.
18%
Hickenlooper 25-30%
$1,000 Vol.
19%
Hickenlooper 30%+
$630 Vol.
21%
The 2026 Colorado Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper faces Republican state Sen. Mark Baisley in Colorado’s U.S. Senate contest on November 3, 2026. Hickenlooper secured the Democratic nomination after defeating progressive challenger Julie Gonzales in the June primary, while Baisley ran unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean, Hickenlooper’s incumbency and fundraising edge, and limited national Republican focus on the seat. The closely balanced market probabilities around Hickenlooper’s margin reflect uncertainty over the final spread, driven by Colorado’s mix of suburban and rural voters, potential national political currents, and turnout patterns among core Democratic constituencies. Recent campaign finance reports and primary results underscore Hickenlooper’s organizational advantages, though modest Republican efforts could narrow the outcome if enthusiasm gaps emerge in the final weeks.
The 2026 Colorado Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ET
Volume
$4,790Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...The 2026 Colorado Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper faces Republican state Sen. Mark Baisley in Colorado’s U.S. Senate contest on November 3, 2026. Hickenlooper secured the Democratic nomination after defeating progressive challenger Julie Gonzales in the June primary, while Baisley ran unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean, Hickenlooper’s incumbency and fundraising edge, and limited national Republican focus on the seat. The closely balanced market probabilities around Hickenlooper’s margin reflect uncertainty over the final spread, driven by Colorado’s mix of suburban and rural voters, potential national political currents, and turnout patterns among core Democratic constituencies. Recent campaign finance reports and primary results underscore Hickenlooper’s organizational advantages, though modest Republican efforts could narrow the outcome if enthusiasm gaps emerge in the final weeks.
The 2026 Colorado Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,790Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Incumbent Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper faces Republican state Sen. Mark Baisley in Colorado’s U.S. Senate contest on November 3, 2026. Hickenlooper secured the Democratic nomination after defeating progressive challenger Julie Gonzales in the June primary, while Baisley ran unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean, Hickenlooper’s incumbency and fundraising edge, and limited national Republican focus on the seat. The closely balanced market probabilities around Hickenlooper’s margin reflect uncertainty over the final spread, driven by Colorado’s mix of suburban and rural voters, potential national political currents, and turnout patterns among core Democratic constituencies. Recent campaign finance reports and primary results underscore Hickenlooper’s organizational advantages, though modest Republican efforts could narrow the outcome if enthusiasm gaps emerge in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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