Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $670 billion by April 30 (30.5% implied probability), amid a fragmented field reflecting volatility in Tesla shares, which plunged nearly 20% year-to-date after Q1 2026 deliveries missed estimates on April 2 due to softening EV demand and Chinese competition. This downside pressure offsets bullish SpaceX momentum from its April 1 confidential IPO filing targeting a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation following the February xAI merger. Divergent tracker estimates—Forbes at $831.5 billion versus Bloomberg's $658 billion—fuel uncertainty, with Tesla's Q1 earnings on April 22 as the pivotal catalyst that could swing outcomes across the 600–670 billion brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPatrimonio netto di Elon Musk il 30 aprile?
Patrimonio netto di Elon Musk il 30 aprile?
670 miliardi+ 31%
630-640 mld 13%
660-670 miliardi 13%
640-650 miliardi 12%
$56,529 Vol.
$56,529 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<600 miliardi
7%
600-610 miliardi
7%
610-620 miliardi
7%
620-630 miliardi
10%
630-640 mld
13%
640-650 miliardi
12%
650-660 mld
12%
660-670 miliardi
13%
670 miliardi+
31%
670 miliardi+ 31%
630-640 mld 13%
660-670 miliardi 13%
640-650 miliardi 12%
$56,529 Vol.
$56,529 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<600 miliardi
$6,344 Vol.
7%
600-610 miliardi
$1,718 Vol.
7%
610-620 miliardi
$5,390 Vol.
7%
620-630 miliardi
$9,146 Vol.
10%
630-640 mld
$3,026 Vol.
13%
640-650 miliardi
$6,767 Vol.
12%
650-660 mld
$9,903 Vol.
12%
660-670 miliardi
$1,734 Vol.
13%
670 miliardi+
$12,501 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $670 billion by April 30 (30.5% implied probability), amid a fragmented field reflecting volatility in Tesla shares, which plunged nearly 20% year-to-date after Q1 2026 deliveries missed estimates on April 2 due to softening EV demand and Chinese competition. This downside pressure offsets bullish SpaceX momentum from its April 1 confidential IPO filing targeting a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation following the February xAI merger. Divergent tracker estimates—Forbes at $831.5 billion versus Bloomberg's $658 billion—fuel uncertainty, with Tesla's Q1 earnings on April 22 as the pivotal catalyst that could swing outcomes across the 600–670 billion brackets.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volume
$56,529Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $670 billion by April 30 (30.5% implied probability), amid a fragmented field reflecting volatility in Tesla shares, which plunged nearly 20% year-to-date after Q1 2026 deliveries missed estimates on April 2 due to softening EV demand and Chinese competition. This downside pressure offsets bullish SpaceX momentum from its April 1 confidential IPO filing targeting a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation following the February xAI merger. Divergent tracker estimates—Forbes at $831.5 billion versus Bloomberg's $658 billion—fuel uncertainty, with Tesla's Q1 earnings on April 22 as the pivotal catalyst that could swing outcomes across the 600–670 billion brackets.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$56,529Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $670 billion by April 30 (30.5% implied probability), amid a fragmented field reflecting volatility in Tesla shares, which plunged nearly 20% year-to-date after Q1 2026 deliveries missed estimates on April 2 due to softening EV demand and Chinese competition. This downside pressure offsets bullish SpaceX momentum from its April 1 confidential IPO filing targeting a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation following the February xAI merger. Divergent tracker estimates—Forbes at $831.5 billion versus Bloomberg's $658 billion—fuel uncertainty, with Tesla's Q1 earnings on April 22 as the pivotal catalyst that could swing outcomes across the 600–670 billion brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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