**Congressional leaders have advanced a clean continuing resolution extending federal funding through December 4, 2026, well before the September 30 end of FY 2026.** The House Appropriations Committee introduced the measure in July 2026 as a straightforward, poison-pill-free stopgap that preserves momentum on full-year FY 2027 appropriations while providing operational certainty across agencies. This early action follows the pattern of recent cycles, where lawmakers have prioritized short-term extensions to avert lapses rather than risk disruptions to discretionary spending, entitlements, and agency operations. With the CR already advancing and no major procedural or partisan obstacles reported near the October 1 deadline, trader consensus reflects strong expectations that appropriations will continue without interruption.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli stanziamenti federali scadono il 1° ottobre?
Gli stanziamenti federali scadono il 1° ottobre?
18% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 ott 2026
18% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 ott 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Congressional leaders have advanced a clean continuing resolution extending federal funding through December 4, 2026, well before the September 30 end of FY 2026.** The House Appropriations Committee introduced the measure in July 2026 as a straightforward, poison-pill-free stopgap that preserves momentum on full-year FY 2027 appropriations while providing operational certainty across agencies. This early action follows the pattern of recent cycles, where lawmakers have prioritized short-term extensions to avert lapses rather than risk disruptions to discretionary spending, entitlements, and agency operations. With the CR already advancing and no major procedural or partisan obstacles reported near the October 1 deadline, trader consensus reflects strong expectations that appropriations will continue without interruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,247Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Congressional leaders have advanced a clean continuing resolution extending federal funding through December 4, 2026, well before the September 30 end of FY 2026.** The House Appropriations Committee introduced the measure in July 2026 as a straightforward, poison-pill-free stopgap that preserves momentum on full-year FY 2027 appropriations while providing operational certainty across agencies. This early action follows the pattern of recent cycles, where lawmakers have prioritized short-term extensions to avert lapses rather than risk disruptions to discretionary spending, entitlements, and agency operations. With the CR already advancing and no major procedural or partisan obstacles reported near the October 1 deadline, trader consensus reflects strong expectations that appropriations will continue without interruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,247Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Congressional leaders have advanced a clean continuing resolution extending federal funding through December 4, 2026, well before the September 30 end of FY 2026.** The House Appropriations Committee introduced the measure in July 2026 as a straightforward, poison-pill-free stopgap that preserves momentum on full-year FY 2027 appropriations while providing operational certainty across agencies. This early action follows the pattern of recent cycles, where lawmakers have prioritized short-term extensions to avert lapses rather than risk disruptions to discretionary spending, entitlements, and agency operations. With the CR already advancing and no major procedural or partisan obstacles reported near the October 1 deadline, trader consensus reflects strong expectations that appropriations will continue without interruption.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti