Congress enacted a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at fiscal 2026 levels through December 11, averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The Senate passed the measure 90-6 in August, the House cleared it 370-48 under suspension of the rules, and President Trump signed it into law shortly thereafter. This bipartisan stopgap reflects shared incentives to maintain agency operations ahead of the November midterms and mirrors patterns of using short-term extensions to defer full-year negotiations. Trader consensus at 99% on "No" aligns directly with the enacted legislation, leaving no procedural pathway for a lapse on the target date. Only unforeseen legal or administrative reversals could alter the outcome, though none appear plausible given the completed legislative process.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli stanziamenti federali scadono il 1° ottobre?
Gli stanziamenti federali scadono il 1° ottobre?
1% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 ott 2026
1% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 ott 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at fiscal 2026 levels through December 11, averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The Senate passed the measure 90-6 in August, the House cleared it 370-48 under suspension of the rules, and President Trump signed it into law shortly thereafter. This bipartisan stopgap reflects shared incentives to maintain agency operations ahead of the November midterms and mirrors patterns of using short-term extensions to defer full-year negotiations. Trader consensus at 99% on "No" aligns directly with the enacted legislation, leaving no procedural pathway for a lapse on the target date. Only unforeseen legal or administrative reversals could alter the outcome, though none appear plausible given the completed legislative process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,393Data di fine
2 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at fiscal 2026 levels through December 11, averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The Senate passed the measure 90-6 in August, the House cleared it 370-48 under suspension of the rules, and President Trump signed it into law shortly thereafter. This bipartisan stopgap reflects shared incentives to maintain agency operations ahead of the November midterms and mirrors patterns of using short-term extensions to defer full-year negotiations. Trader consensus at 99% on "No" aligns directly with the enacted legislation, leaving no procedural pathway for a lapse on the target date. Only unforeseen legal or administrative reversals could alter the outcome, though none appear plausible given the completed legislative process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data di fine
2 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070be91...Congress enacted a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at fiscal 2026 levels through December 11, averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The Senate passed the measure 90-6 in August, the House cleared it 370-48 under suspension of the rules, and President Trump signed it into law shortly thereafter. This bipartisan stopgap reflects shared incentives to maintain agency operations ahead of the November midterms and mirrors patterns of using short-term extensions to defer full-year negotiations. Trader consensus at 99% on "No" aligns directly with the enacted legislation, leaving no procedural pathway for a lapse on the target date. Only unforeseen legal or administrative reversals could alter the outcome, though none appear plausible given the completed legislative process.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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