Latest forecast guidance, including Met Office projections for sunny conditions on August 6, supports a daytime maximum near 34°C in Chongqing, driving the 43.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 35°C. Subtropical summer patterns in this region, with historical August highs averaging 32–34°C and occasional peaks to 35–36°C under clear skies, reinforce trader focus on these thresholds. High humidity and surrounding terrain can moderate or amplify observed readings from official stations. Updated model runs and final observational data tomorrow will determine resolution amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 6 agosto?
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 18%
32°C 5%
$21,706 Vol.
$21,706 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
44%
35°C
26%
36°C
5%
37°C o superiore
2%
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 18%
32°C 5%
$21,706 Vol.
$21,706 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
44%
35°C
26%
36°C
5%
37°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance, including Met Office projections for sunny conditions on August 6, supports a daytime maximum near 34°C in Chongqing, driving the 43.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 35°C. Subtropical summer patterns in this region, with historical August highs averaging 32–34°C and occasional peaks to 35–36°C under clear skies, reinforce trader focus on these thresholds. High humidity and surrounding terrain can moderate or amplify observed readings from official stations. Updated model runs and final observational data tomorrow will determine resolution amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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