Trader consensus in this Lucknow temperature market centers on 32–34°C as the most likely peak on September 13, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability. Mid-September marks the typical withdrawal phase of the southwest monsoon across Uttar Pradesh, when increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime maxima relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Recent India Meteorological Department model guidance and ensemble runs have shown limited day-to-day variability, keeping the central tendency near the long-term climatological average of 32–34°C for the period. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convective activity, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 13 settembre?
33°C 43%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
35°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
28°C o inferiore
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
23%
33°C
43%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 43%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
35°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
28°C o inferiore
$212 Vol.
1%
29°C
$128 Vol.
1%
30°C
$34 Vol.
2%
31°C
$130 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,560 Vol.
23%
33°C
$367 Vol.
43%
34°C
$281 Vol.
27%
35°C
$117 Vol.
6%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
38°C o superiore
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Lucknow temperature market centers on 32–34°C as the most likely peak on September 13, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability. Mid-September marks the typical withdrawal phase of the southwest monsoon across Uttar Pradesh, when increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime maxima relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Recent India Meteorological Department model guidance and ensemble runs have shown limited day-to-day variability, keeping the central tendency near the long-term climatological average of 32–34°C for the period. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convective activity, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,001Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Lucknow temperature market centers on 32–34°C as the most likely peak on September 13, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability. Mid-September marks the typical withdrawal phase of the southwest monsoon across Uttar Pradesh, when increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime maxima relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Recent India Meteorological Department model guidance and ensemble runs have shown limited day-to-day variability, keeping the central tendency near the long-term climatological average of 32–34°C for the period. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convective activity, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,001Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this Lucknow temperature market centers on 32–34°C as the most likely peak on September 13, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability. Mid-September marks the typical withdrawal phase of the southwest monsoon across Uttar Pradesh, when increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime maxima relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Recent India Meteorological Department model guidance and ensemble runs have shown limited day-to-day variability, keeping the central tendency near the long-term climatological average of 32–34°C for the period. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convective activity, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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