Persistent inflation data, including the July PCE print holding at 3.7% year-over-year with core measures at 3.3%, alongside the July FOMC’s 9-3 vote featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, anchor trader consensus around three or more dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that elevated price pressures from energy and supply shocks, combined with a stable but balanced labor market showing unemployment near 4.1-4.3%, will sustain internal divisions under Chair Warsh. Recent August communications and the latest PCE release have modestly lifted near-term hike probabilities without shifting the balance decisively, leaving room for incoming data or additional regional bank voices to alter the dissent tally before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di settembre?
3 38%
2 19%
4+ 19%
1 18%
0
15%
1
10%
2
19%
3
38%
4+
19%
3 38%
2 19%
4+ 19%
1 18%
0
15%
1
10%
2
19%
3
38%
4+
19%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation data, including the July PCE print holding at 3.7% year-over-year with core measures at 3.3%, alongside the July FOMC’s 9-3 vote featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, anchor trader consensus around three or more dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that elevated price pressures from energy and supply shocks, combined with a stable but balanced labor market showing unemployment near 4.1-4.3%, will sustain internal divisions under Chair Warsh. Recent August communications and the latest PCE release have modestly lifted near-term hike probabilities without shifting the balance decisively, leaving room for incoming data or additional regional bank voices to alter the dissent tally before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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