Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent legal challenges and opacity around the program's rollout. Multiple lawsuits, including a new April 2026 filing by the Democracy Defenders Fund demanding Department of Homeland Security records on sales and vetting, question the executive order's authority to sell permanent residency for a $1 million Treasury contribution plus $15,000 USCIS fee. Despite 2025 launch hype and unverified claims of $1.3 billion in early sales, no confirmed issuances have surfaced by mid-April, with experts citing the high barrier, processing delays, and competition from EB-5 visas as dampening demand. Ongoing court battles heighten uncertainty for the full-year total.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuante carte d'oro venderà Trump nel 2026?
Quante carte d'oro venderà Trump nel 2026?
0 41%
1-100 18.9%
2.5k-5k 6.2%
1k-2,5k 6.0%
$136,967 Vol.
$136,967 Vol.
31 dic 2026
0
41%
1-100
19%
101-1k
3%
1k-2,5k
6%
2.5k-5k
6%
5k-10k
4%
10mila-25mila
2%
25k-100k
4%
>100k
6%
0 41%
1-100 18.9%
2.5k-5k 6.2%
1k-2,5k 6.0%
$136,967 Vol.
$136,967 Vol.
31 dic 2026
0
$26,528 Vol.
41%
1-100
$10,678 Vol.
19%
101-1k
$5,088 Vol.
3%
1k-2,5k
$7,596 Vol.
6%
2.5k-5k
$4,552 Vol.
6%
5k-10k
$6,276 Vol.
4%
10mila-25mila
$55,706 Vol.
2%
25k-100k
$5,371 Vol.
4%
>100k
$15,173 Vol.
6%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent legal challenges and opacity around the program's rollout. Multiple lawsuits, including a new April 2026 filing by the Democracy Defenders Fund demanding Department of Homeland Security records on sales and vetting, question the executive order's authority to sell permanent residency for a $1 million Treasury contribution plus $15,000 USCIS fee. Despite 2025 launch hype and unverified claims of $1.3 billion in early sales, no confirmed issuances have surfaced by mid-April, with experts citing the high barrier, processing delays, and competition from EB-5 visas as dampening demand. Ongoing court battles heighten uncertainty for the full-year total.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$136,967Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent legal challenges and opacity around the program's rollout. Multiple lawsuits, including a new April 2026 filing by the Democracy Defenders Fund demanding Department of Homeland Security records on sales and vetting, question the executive order's authority to sell permanent residency for a $1 million Treasury contribution plus $15,000 USCIS fee. Despite 2025 launch hype and unverified claims of $1.3 billion in early sales, no confirmed issuances have surfaced by mid-April, with experts citing the high barrier, processing delays, and competition from EB-5 visas as dampening demand. Ongoing court battles heighten uncertainty for the full-year total.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$136,967Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent legal challenges and opacity around the program's rollout. Multiple lawsuits, including a new April 2026 filing by the Democracy Defenders Fund demanding Department of Homeland Security records on sales and vetting, question the executive order's authority to sell permanent residency for a $1 million Treasury contribution plus $15,000 USCIS fee. Despite 2025 launch hype and unverified claims of $1.3 billion in early sales, no confirmed issuances have surfaced by mid-April, with experts citing the high barrier, processing delays, and competition from EB-5 visas as dampening demand. Ongoing court battles heighten uncertainty for the full-year total.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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