Trader consensus favors 24–25 Republican governors after the November 2026 midterms, reflecting expectations of modest net losses from the current 26 amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party under Donald Trump. Recent CNN polling from early April shows Trump's economic approval dipping below 40%, compounded by high gas prices tied to the protracted Iran conflict—Operation Epic Fury—eroding GOP support in battleground states like Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Kansas, and Nevada, rated tossups or leans by Cook Political Report (April 16 update) and others. Multiple open seats from term-limited incumbents, including nine Republicans, heighten vulnerability, though safe holds in states like Florida and Texas bolster the floor; primaries begin summer 2026, with outcomes potentially shifting odds further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato24–25 35%
22–23 24%
<22 22%
26–27 14%
$662,608 Vol.
$662,608 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
22%
22–23
24%
24–25
35%
26–27
14%
28–29
5%
30–31
<1%
32+
<1%
24–25 35%
22–23 24%
<22 22%
26–27 14%
$662,608 Vol.
$662,608 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
$44,812 Vol.
22%
22–23
$5,217 Vol.
24%
24–25
$29,731 Vol.
35%
26–27
$13,027 Vol.
14%
28–29
$552,851 Vol.
5%
30–31
$4,862 Vol.
<1%
32+
$12,109 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors 24–25 Republican governors after the November 2026 midterms, reflecting expectations of modest net losses from the current 26 amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party under Donald Trump. Recent CNN polling from early April shows Trump's economic approval dipping below 40%, compounded by high gas prices tied to the protracted Iran conflict—Operation Epic Fury—eroding GOP support in battleground states like Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Kansas, and Nevada, rated tossups or leans by Cook Political Report (April 16 update) and others. Multiple open seats from term-limited incumbents, including nine Republicans, heighten vulnerability, though safe holds in states like Florida and Texas bolster the floor; primaries begin summer 2026, with outcomes potentially shifting odds further.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$662,608Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors 24–25 Republican governors after the November 2026 midterms, reflecting expectations of modest net losses from the current 26 amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party under Donald Trump. Recent CNN polling from early April shows Trump's economic approval dipping below 40%, compounded by high gas prices tied to the protracted Iran conflict—Operation Epic Fury—eroding GOP support in battleground states like Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Kansas, and Nevada, rated tossups or leans by Cook Political Report (April 16 update) and others. Multiple open seats from term-limited incumbents, including nine Republicans, heighten vulnerability, though safe holds in states like Florida and Texas bolster the floor; primaries begin summer 2026, with outcomes potentially shifting odds further.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$662,608Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 24–25 Republican governors after the November 2026 midterms, reflecting expectations of modest net losses from the current 26 amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party under Donald Trump. Recent CNN polling from early April shows Trump's economic approval dipping below 40%, compounded by high gas prices tied to the protracted Iran conflict—Operation Epic Fury—eroding GOP support in battleground states like Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Kansas, and Nevada, rated tossups or leans by Cook Political Report (April 16 update) and others. Multiple open seats from term-limited incumbents, including nine Republicans, heighten vulnerability, though safe holds in states like Florida and Texas bolster the floor; primaries begin summer 2026, with outcomes potentially shifting odds further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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