As of early August 2026, the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors after the November midterms reflects uncertainty over roughly two dozen seats up for election, including several open contests and competitive races in states with divided or shifting voter bases. Incumbent advantages, primary outcomes, and national political trends continue to anchor expectations near current levels, with limited polling separation in key battlegrounds preventing stronger consensus on net gains or losses. Factors that could shift odds include late-cycle endorsements, candidate fundraising gaps, or turnout patterns among key demographics in states holding elections this cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato22–23 31%
24–25 29%
26–27 20%
<22 18%
$684,025 Vol.
$684,025 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
18%
22–23
31%
24–25
29%
26–27
20%
28–29
4%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 31%
24–25 29%
26–27 20%
<22 18%
$684,025 Vol.
$684,025 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
$47,132 Vol.
18%
22–23
$8,605 Vol.
31%
24–25
$31,801 Vol.
29%
26–27
$17,031 Vol.
20%
28–29
$557,433 Vol.
4%
30–31
$7,584 Vol.
1%
32+
$14,438 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.As of early August 2026, the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors after the November midterms reflects uncertainty over roughly two dozen seats up for election, including several open contests and competitive races in states with divided or shifting voter bases. Incumbent advantages, primary outcomes, and national political trends continue to anchor expectations near current levels, with limited polling separation in key battlegrounds preventing stronger consensus on net gains or losses. Factors that could shift odds include late-cycle endorsements, candidate fundraising gaps, or turnout patterns among key demographics in states holding elections this cycle.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$684,025Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.As of early August 2026, the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors after the November midterms reflects uncertainty over roughly two dozen seats up for election, including several open contests and competitive races in states with divided or shifting voter bases. Incumbent advantages, primary outcomes, and national political trends continue to anchor expectations near current levels, with limited polling separation in key battlegrounds preventing stronger consensus on net gains or losses. Factors that could shift odds include late-cycle endorsements, candidate fundraising gaps, or turnout patterns among key demographics in states holding elections this cycle.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$684,025Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...As of early August 2026, the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors after the November midterms reflects uncertainty over roughly two dozen seats up for election, including several open contests and competitive races in states with divided or shifting voter bases. Incumbent advantages, primary outcomes, and national political trends continue to anchor expectations near current levels, with limited polling separation in key battlegrounds preventing stronger consensus on net gains or losses. Factors that could shift odds include late-cycle endorsements, candidate fundraising gaps, or turnout patterns among key demographics in states holding elections this cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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