Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election with over 53% of ballots amid record 79-80% turnout, the highest since 1989, propelling trader consensus to near-certainty on its victory and ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP's 16-year dominance. Pre-election polls consistently showed Tisza leading, fueled by opposition unity, economic discontent, and Magyar's appeal as a former Fidesz insider criticizing institutional capture. Orbán conceded defeat shortly after polls closed, with early results and projections confirming Tisza's supermajority in the National Assembly. While mutual fraud accusations surfaced during voting, no credible challenges have emerged; final certification by the National Election Office could theoretically prompt recounts in tight races, but Tisza's national margin renders upsets improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTisza 99.3%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Altro <1%
$1,816,708 Vol.
$1,816,708 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
<1%
Tisza
99%
Altro
<1%
Tisza 99.3%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Altro <1%
$1,816,708 Vol.
$1,816,708 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
$698,219 Vol.
<1%
Tisza
$798,449 Vol.
99%
Altro
$320,040 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election with over 53% of ballots amid record 79-80% turnout, the highest since 1989, propelling trader consensus to near-certainty on its victory and ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP's 16-year dominance. Pre-election polls consistently showed Tisza leading, fueled by opposition unity, economic discontent, and Magyar's appeal as a former Fidesz insider criticizing institutional capture. Orbán conceded defeat shortly after polls closed, with early results and projections confirming Tisza's supermajority in the National Assembly. While mutual fraud accusations surfaced during voting, no credible challenges have emerged; final certification by the National Election Office could theoretically prompt recounts in tight races, but Tisza's national margin renders upsets improbable.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Mercato aperto: Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,816,708Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election with over 53% of ballots amid record 79-80% turnout, the highest since 1989, propelling trader consensus to near-certainty on its victory and ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP's 16-year dominance. Pre-election polls consistently showed Tisza leading, fueled by opposition unity, economic discontent, and Magyar's appeal as a former Fidesz insider criticizing institutional capture. Orbán conceded defeat shortly after polls closed, with early results and projections confirming Tisza's supermajority in the National Assembly. While mutual fraud accusations surfaced during voting, no credible challenges have emerged; final certification by the National Election Office could theoretically prompt recounts in tight races, but Tisza's national margin renders upsets improbable.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Volume
$1,816,708Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election with over 53% of ballots amid record 79-80% turnout, the highest since 1989, propelling trader consensus to near-certainty on its victory and ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP's 16-year dominance. Pre-election polls consistently showed Tisza leading, fueled by opposition unity, economic discontent, and Magyar's appeal as a former Fidesz insider criticizing institutional capture. Orbán conceded defeat shortly after polls closed, with early results and projections confirming Tisza's supermajority in the National Assembly. While mutual fraud accusations surfaced during voting, no credible challenges have emerged; final certification by the National Election Office could theoretically prompt recounts in tight races, but Tisza's national margin renders upsets improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti