Péter Magyar's Tisza Party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, securing 52.1% of party list votes and 54.4% in constituencies with 98.9% of precincts counted, per official National Electoral Office tallies as of April 15. Record 79.6% turnout—highest since 1990—propelled the center-right challenger's landslide over incumbent Fidesz–KDNP's 39.6% and 37.8%, respectively, amid voter frustration with economic stagnation and corruption allegations. Viktor Orbán's prompt concession solidified trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for Tisza, with a supermajority of 137 seats enabling swift government formation. Only extraordinary legal reversals, like successful recounts or court rulings on minor fraud claims from Our Homeland Movement, could challenge this, though international observers deemed the process free and fair.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTisza 99.5%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Altro <1%
$1,816,732 Vol.
$1,816,732 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
1%
Tisza
100%
Altro
<1%
Tisza 99.5%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Altro <1%
$1,816,732 Vol.
$1,816,732 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
$698,243 Vol.
1%
Tisza
$798,449 Vol.
100%
Altro
$320,040 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza Party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, securing 52.1% of party list votes and 54.4% in constituencies with 98.9% of precincts counted, per official National Electoral Office tallies as of April 15. Record 79.6% turnout—highest since 1990—propelled the center-right challenger's landslide over incumbent Fidesz–KDNP's 39.6% and 37.8%, respectively, amid voter frustration with economic stagnation and corruption allegations. Viktor Orbán's prompt concession solidified trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for Tisza, with a supermajority of 137 seats enabling swift government formation. Only extraordinary legal reversals, like successful recounts or court rulings on minor fraud claims from Our Homeland Movement, could challenge this, though international observers deemed the process free and fair.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Mercato aperto: Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,816,732Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza Party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, securing 52.1% of party list votes and 54.4% in constituencies with 98.9% of precincts counted, per official National Electoral Office tallies as of April 15. Record 79.6% turnout—highest since 1990—propelled the center-right challenger's landslide over incumbent Fidesz–KDNP's 39.6% and 37.8%, respectively, amid voter frustration with economic stagnation and corruption allegations. Viktor Orbán's prompt concession solidified trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for Tisza, with a supermajority of 137 seats enabling swift government formation. Only extraordinary legal reversals, like successful recounts or court rulings on minor fraud claims from Our Homeland Movement, could challenge this, though international observers deemed the process free and fair.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Volume
$1,816,732Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Péter Magyar's Tisza Party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, securing 52.1% of party list votes and 54.4% in constituencies with 98.9% of precincts counted, per official National Electoral Office tallies as of April 15. Record 79.6% turnout—highest since 1990—propelled the center-right challenger's landslide over incumbent Fidesz–KDNP's 39.6% and 37.8%, respectively, amid voter frustration with economic stagnation and corruption allegations. Viktor Orbán's prompt concession solidified trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for Tisza, with a supermajority of 137 seats enabling swift government formation. Only extraordinary legal reversals, like successful recounts or court rulings on minor fraud claims from Our Homeland Movement, could challenge this, though international observers deemed the process free and fair.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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