Recent US-Iran talks in Islamabad stalled over uranium enrichment terms, with Washington demanding a 20-year moratorium and Tehran countering with a five-year suspension while insisting on its right to enrich under the NPT. This impasse, reported April 13-15, has solidified trader consensus at 65% "No," reflecting Iran's firm stance amid ceasefire negotiations tied to sanctions relief and regional de-escalation. IAEA concerns over unverified stockpiles add verification hurdles, and despite hints of resumed talks, no official agreement signals progress before the April 30 deadline. Historical JCPOA breakdowns underscore enrichment as a perennial sticking point in nuclear diplomacy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 aprile?
L'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 aprile?
Sì
$1,030,672 Vol.
$1,030,672 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Sì
$1,030,672 Vol.
$1,030,672 Vol.
30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran talks in Islamabad stalled over uranium enrichment terms, with Washington demanding a 20-year moratorium and Tehran countering with a five-year suspension while insisting on its right to enrich under the NPT. This impasse, reported April 13-15, has solidified trader consensus at 65% "No," reflecting Iran's firm stance amid ceasefire negotiations tied to sanctions relief and regional de-escalation. IAEA concerns over unverified stockpiles add verification hurdles, and despite hints of resumed talks, no official agreement signals progress before the April 30 deadline. Historical JCPOA breakdowns underscore enrichment as a perennial sticking point in nuclear diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,030,672Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran talks in Islamabad stalled over uranium enrichment terms, with Washington demanding a 20-year moratorium and Tehran countering with a five-year suspension while insisting on its right to enrich under the NPT. This impasse, reported April 13-15, has solidified trader consensus at 65% "No," reflecting Iran's firm stance amid ceasefire negotiations tied to sanctions relief and regional de-escalation. IAEA concerns over unverified stockpiles add verification hurdles, and despite hints of resumed talks, no official agreement signals progress before the April 30 deadline. Historical JCPOA breakdowns underscore enrichment as a perennial sticking point in nuclear diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,030,672Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran talks in Islamabad stalled over uranium enrichment terms, with Washington demanding a 20-year moratorium and Tehran countering with a five-year suspension while insisting on its right to enrich under the NPT. This impasse, reported April 13-15, has solidified trader consensus at 65% "No," reflecting Iran's firm stance amid ceasefire negotiations tied to sanctions relief and regional de-escalation. IAEA concerns over unverified stockpiles add verification hurdles, and despite hints of resumed talks, no official agreement signals progress before the April 30 deadline. Historical JCPOA breakdowns underscore enrichment as a perennial sticking point in nuclear diplomacy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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