Kevin Warsh assumed the Federal Reserve chairmanship following Senate confirmation and oversaw his first FOMC meeting on June 17, 2026, where the committee held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75 percent in a unanimous 12–0 vote. Elevated inflation, running well above the 2 percent target and at multi-year highs amid solid growth and stable labor markets, has kept policy on hold throughout 2026. Warsh’s initial statement omitted forward guidance, launched internal task forces on communications and the balance sheet, and reaffirmed the dual mandate focus on price stability without signaling near-term easing. Traders assign near-certain odds against a cut at this first meeting because persistent price pressures and the new chair’s emphasis on institutional review create high barriers to immediate action; only unexpectedly sharp disinflation or acute economic weakness within the resolution window could alter that consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$637,104 Vol.
$637,104 Vol.
$637,104 Vol.
$637,104 Vol.
The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".Kevin Warsh assumed the Federal Reserve chairmanship following Senate confirmation and oversaw his first FOMC meeting on June 17, 2026, where the committee held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75 percent in a unanimous 12–0 vote. Elevated inflation, running well above the 2 percent target and at multi-year highs amid solid growth and stable labor markets, has kept policy on hold throughout 2026. Warsh’s initial statement omitted forward guidance, launched internal task forces on communications and the balance sheet, and reaffirmed the dual mandate focus on price stability without signaling near-term easing. Traders assign near-certain odds against a cut at this first meeting because persistent price pressures and the new chair’s emphasis on institutional review create high barriers to immediate action; only unexpectedly sharp disinflation or acute economic weakness within the resolution window could alter that consensus.
The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Apr 17, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$637,104Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".Kevin Warsh assumed the Federal Reserve chairmanship following Senate confirmation and oversaw his first FOMC meeting on June 17, 2026, where the committee held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75 percent in a unanimous 12–0 vote. Elevated inflation, running well above the 2 percent target and at multi-year highs amid solid growth and stable labor markets, has kept policy on hold throughout 2026. Warsh’s initial statement omitted forward guidance, launched internal task forces on communications and the balance sheet, and reaffirmed the dual mandate focus on price stability without signaling near-term easing. Traders assign near-certain odds against a cut at this first meeting because persistent price pressures and the new chair’s emphasis on institutional review create high barriers to immediate action; only unexpectedly sharp disinflation or acute economic weakness within the resolution window could alter that consensus.
The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$637,104Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Kevin Warsh assumed the Federal Reserve chairmanship following Senate confirmation and oversaw his first FOMC meeting on June 17, 2026, where the committee held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75 percent in a unanimous 12–0 vote. Elevated inflation, running well above the 2 percent target and at multi-year highs amid solid growth and stable labor markets, has kept policy on hold throughout 2026. Warsh’s initial statement omitted forward guidance, launched internal task forces on communications and the balance sheet, and reaffirmed the dual mandate focus on price stability without signaling near-term easing. Traders assign near-certain odds against a cut at this first meeting because persistent price pressures and the new chair’s emphasis on institutional review create high barriers to immediate action; only unexpectedly sharp disinflation or acute economic weakness within the resolution window could alter that consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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