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icon for Quanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di ottobre?

Quanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di ottobre?

icon for Quanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di ottobre?

Quanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di ottobre?

set 16

ott 28

dic 9

gen 27, 2027

set 16

ott 28

dic 9

gen 27, 2027

3 25%

2 22%

1 21%

4+ 17%

Polymarket
NUOVO

3 25%

2 22%

1 21%

4+ 17%

Polymarket
NUOVO

0

$320 Vol.

15%

1

$345 Vol.

21%

2

$320 Vol.

22%

3

$340 Vol.

25%

4+

$690 Vol.

17%

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with recent 9-3 votes featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents favoring tighter policy, drives the closely matched implied probabilities for October FOMC dissents. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% and energy-driven price pressures persisting, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the September 16 meeting and incoming data will unify or further fragment the committee ahead of the October 28 decision. Key swing factors include labor market stability, fresh PCE and employment releases, and speeches from officials like Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan versus potential dovish voices such as Miran, as the 2026 voter rotation tilts slightly more hawkish overall.

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,015
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with recent 9-3 votes featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents favoring tighter policy, drives the closely matched implied probabilities for October FOMC dissents. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% and energy-driven price pressures persisting, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the September 16 meeting and incoming data will unify or further fragment the committee ahead of the October 28 decision. Key swing factors include labor market stability, fresh PCE and employment releases, and speeches from officials like Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan versus potential dovish voices such as Miran, as the 2026 voter rotation tilts slightly more hawkish overall.

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,015
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?

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Tre persone dissentiranno dalla decisione della Fed di gennaio?

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Domande frequenti

"Quanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di ottobre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "3" a 25%, seguito da "2" a 22%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 25¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Quanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di ottobre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 8, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Quanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di ottobre?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di ottobre?" è "3" a 25%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "2" a 22%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di ottobre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.