**Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 13 project a minimum temperature near 24–25°C amid expected thunderstorms and high humidity, keeping the market tightly contested between warmer (30°C+) and cooler (20°C or below) outcomes.** Cloud cover and precipitation from the approaching system are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling in this subtropical climate, where typical September lows average about 24°C. Steering winds and moisture from regional patterns introduce model spread, with some runs showing slightly higher or lower values depending on storm timing and intensity. Historical records show September 13 lows ranging from 19.9°C to over 27°C, underscoring natural variability that traders weigh against current guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 13 settembre?
30°C o superiore 85%
20°C o inferiore 81%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
20°C o inferiore
81%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C o superiore
85%
30°C o superiore 85%
20°C o inferiore 81%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
20°C o inferiore
81%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C o superiore
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 13 project a minimum temperature near 24–25°C amid expected thunderstorms and high humidity, keeping the market tightly contested between warmer (30°C+) and cooler (20°C or below) outcomes.** Cloud cover and precipitation from the approaching system are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling in this subtropical climate, where typical September lows average about 24°C. Steering winds and moisture from regional patterns introduce model spread, with some runs showing slightly higher or lower values depending on storm timing and intensity. Historical records show September 13 lows ranging from 19.9°C to over 27°C, underscoring natural variability that traders weigh against current guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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