Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 13th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean and his established position. The rural South Central Pennsylvania seat, rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters including Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk HQ, features a Partisan Voter Index around R+23 and delivered Joyce 74 percent in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the May 19 primaries, while Joyce maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million in cash on hand compared with under $40,000 for Democrat Beth Farnham. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent for Joyce aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-13 House Election Winner
PA-13 House Election Winner
$17,812 Vol.
$17,812 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Joyce (R)
98%
Beth Farnham (D)
3%
$17,812 Vol.
$17,812 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Joyce (R)
$9,886 Vol.
98%
Beth Farnham (D)
$7,927 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 13th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean and his established position. The rural South Central Pennsylvania seat, rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters including Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk HQ, features a Partisan Voter Index around R+23 and delivered Joyce 74 percent in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the May 19 primaries, while Joyce maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million in cash on hand compared with under $40,000 for Democrat Beth Farnham. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent for Joyce aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$17,812Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 13th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean and his established position. The rural South Central Pennsylvania seat, rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters including Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk HQ, features a Partisan Voter Index around R+23 and delivered Joyce 74 percent in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the May 19 primaries, while Joyce maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million in cash on hand compared with under $40,000 for Democrat Beth Farnham. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent for Joyce aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,812Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 13th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean and his established position. The rural South Central Pennsylvania seat, rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters including Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk HQ, features a Partisan Voter Index around R+23 and delivered Joyce 74 percent in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the May 19 primaries, while Joyce maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million in cash on hand compared with under $40,000 for Democrat Beth Farnham. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent for Joyce aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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