Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district features a strong Republican tilt rooted in voter registration advantages, consistent past election margins, and alignment with statewide conservative trends on key issues like taxes and energy policy. The party's commanding 93.5% implied probability reflects an incumbent or well-positioned nominee benefiting from these structural factors ahead of the 2026 midterms. Democratic chances remain limited at 6.5% due to weaker historical performance in the district. A late scandal, unexpected primary upset, or broad national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current polling and turnout patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-13 House Election Winner
PA-13 House Election Winner
$13,578 Vol.
$13,578 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$13,578 Vol.
$13,578 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$9,033 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$4,545 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district features a strong Republican tilt rooted in voter registration advantages, consistent past election margins, and alignment with statewide conservative trends on key issues like taxes and energy policy. The party's commanding 93.5% implied probability reflects an incumbent or well-positioned nominee benefiting from these structural factors ahead of the 2026 midterms. Democratic chances remain limited at 6.5% due to weaker historical performance in the district. A late scandal, unexpected primary upset, or broad national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current polling and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$13,578Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district features a strong Republican tilt rooted in voter registration advantages, consistent past election margins, and alignment with statewide conservative trends on key issues like taxes and energy policy. The party's commanding 93.5% implied probability reflects an incumbent or well-positioned nominee benefiting from these structural factors ahead of the 2026 midterms. Democratic chances remain limited at 6.5% due to weaker historical performance in the district. A late scandal, unexpected primary upset, or broad national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current polling and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,578Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district features a strong Republican tilt rooted in voter registration advantages, consistent past election margins, and alignment with statewide conservative trends on key issues like taxes and energy policy. The party's commanding 93.5% implied probability reflects an incumbent or well-positioned nominee benefiting from these structural factors ahead of the 2026 midterms. Democratic chances remain limited at 6.5% due to weaker historical performance in the district. A late scandal, unexpected primary upset, or broad national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current polling and turnout patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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