Trader consensus heavily favors Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through April 30, with "No" implying 97.3% probability, reflecting his entrenched position in the Trump administration amid an ongoing conflict with Iran. Despite House Democrats introducing articles of impeachment on April 15 citing unauthorized strikes, civilian casualties including an Iranian school, mishandled classified information on Signal, and Caribbean boat operations, Republican control of Congress renders House passage and Senate conviction—requiring a two-thirds supermajority—highly improbable. Hegseth has consolidated influence through recent Pentagon purges, including ousting Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George in early April, and faces no public resignation signals from the White House. A scheduled Pentagon briefing with Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine on April 17 could address scrutiny, but realistic shifts would require Trump withdrawing support, a major military setback, or escalated legal probes from DOJ.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$449,600 Vol.
$449,600 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Sì
$449,600 Vol.
$449,600 Vol.
30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through April 30, with "No" implying 97.3% probability, reflecting his entrenched position in the Trump administration amid an ongoing conflict with Iran. Despite House Democrats introducing articles of impeachment on April 15 citing unauthorized strikes, civilian casualties including an Iranian school, mishandled classified information on Signal, and Caribbean boat operations, Republican control of Congress renders House passage and Senate conviction—requiring a two-thirds supermajority—highly improbable. Hegseth has consolidated influence through recent Pentagon purges, including ousting Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George in early April, and faces no public resignation signals from the White House. A scheduled Pentagon briefing with Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine on April 17 could address scrutiny, but realistic shifts would require Trump withdrawing support, a major military setback, or escalated legal probes from DOJ.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Volume
$449,600Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through April 30, with "No" implying 97.3% probability, reflecting his entrenched position in the Trump administration amid an ongoing conflict with Iran. Despite House Democrats introducing articles of impeachment on April 15 citing unauthorized strikes, civilian casualties including an Iranian school, mishandled classified information on Signal, and Caribbean boat operations, Republican control of Congress renders House passage and Senate conviction—requiring a two-thirds supermajority—highly improbable. Hegseth has consolidated influence through recent Pentagon purges, including ousting Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George in early April, and faces no public resignation signals from the White House. A scheduled Pentagon briefing with Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine on April 17 could address scrutiny, but realistic shifts would require Trump withdrawing support, a major military setback, or escalated legal probes from DOJ.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$449,600Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through April 30, with "No" implying 97.3% probability, reflecting his entrenched position in the Trump administration amid an ongoing conflict with Iran. Despite House Democrats introducing articles of impeachment on April 15 citing unauthorized strikes, civilian casualties including an Iranian school, mishandled classified information on Signal, and Caribbean boat operations, Republican control of Congress renders House passage and Senate conviction—requiring a two-thirds supermajority—highly improbable. Hegseth has consolidated influence through recent Pentagon purges, including ousting Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George in early April, and faces no public resignation signals from the White House. A scheduled Pentagon briefing with Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine on April 17 could address scrutiny, but realistic shifts would require Trump withdrawing support, a major military setback, or escalated legal probes from DOJ.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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