Incumbent Lindsey Graham leads Polymarket odds at 81% for South Carolina's Republican Senate primary on June 9, reflecting his fundraising dominance with over $19 million raised, strong name recognition, and institutional support in the deep-red state, where historical incumbency advantages favor outright victories despite recent polls showing him at 41% in a challenger-sponsored survey hinting at potential runoff risk if under 50% threshold. Mark Lynch at 13.5% gained traction after Paul Dans, Project 2025 architect, dropped out five days ago on April 11 and endorsed him, consolidating anti-Graham conservative votes amid Graham's 61% unfavorable rating in a March poll. Dans lingers at 2.4% as endorsement news disseminates, while Thomas Murphy remains marginal at 0.2% with negligible fundraising.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle primarie del Senato repubblicano della Carolina del Sud
Vincitore delle primarie del Senato repubblicano della Carolina del Sud
Lindsey Graham 81%
Mark Lynch 13.5%
Paul Dans 2.4%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$99,631 Vol.
$99,631 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
81%
Mark Lynch
13%
Paul Dans
2%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
Lindsey Graham 81%
Mark Lynch 13.5%
Paul Dans 2.4%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$99,631 Vol.
$99,631 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
81%
Mark Lynch
13%
Paul Dans
2%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Lindsey Graham leads Polymarket odds at 81% for South Carolina's Republican Senate primary on June 9, reflecting his fundraising dominance with over $19 million raised, strong name recognition, and institutional support in the deep-red state, where historical incumbency advantages favor outright victories despite recent polls showing him at 41% in a challenger-sponsored survey hinting at potential runoff risk if under 50% threshold. Mark Lynch at 13.5% gained traction after Paul Dans, Project 2025 architect, dropped out five days ago on April 11 and endorsed him, consolidating anti-Graham conservative votes amid Graham's 61% unfavorable rating in a March poll. Dans lingers at 2.4% as endorsement news disseminates, while Thomas Murphy remains marginal at 0.2% with negligible fundraising.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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