Trump’s approval rating sits near multi-month lows around 37-41% in recent aggregates, with net approval hovering between -18 and -22 amid persistent economic concerns including gas prices and living costs. Trader balance at 50% for an up or down move this week reflects mixed polling signals, including modest week-over-week gains in some tracking averages and isolated releases showing improvement to the mid-40s or higher among likely voters. Developments that could shift the weekly outcome include fresh national or partisan breakdowns from major pollsters, any visible movement in Iran-related diplomacy or economic indicators, and holiday-period sentiment effects around Independence Day. Historical patterns show approval can fluctuate several points on short-term news cycles even when underlying trends remain stable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIn aumento
53% probabilità
$1,598 Vol.
$1,598 Vol.
10 lug 2026
In aumento
53% probabilità
$1,598 Vol.
$1,598 Vol.
10 lug 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating sits near multi-month lows around 37-41% in recent aggregates, with net approval hovering between -18 and -22 amid persistent economic concerns including gas prices and living costs. Trader balance at 50% for an up or down move this week reflects mixed polling signals, including modest week-over-week gains in some tracking averages and isolated releases showing improvement to the mid-40s or higher among likely voters. Developments that could shift the weekly outcome include fresh national or partisan breakdowns from major pollsters, any visible movement in Iran-related diplomacy or economic indicators, and holiday-period sentiment effects around Independence Day. Historical patterns show approval can fluctuate several points on short-term news cycles even when underlying trends remain stable.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jul 3, 2026, 8:45 PM ET
Volume
$1,598Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 3, 2026, 8:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: In aumento 0.50, In calo 0.50
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: In aumento 0.50, In calo 0.50
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating sits near multi-month lows around 37-41% in recent aggregates, with net approval hovering between -18 and -22 amid persistent economic concerns including gas prices and living costs. Trader balance at 50% for an up or down move this week reflects mixed polling signals, including modest week-over-week gains in some tracking averages and isolated releases showing improvement to the mid-40s or higher among likely voters. Developments that could shift the weekly outcome include fresh national or partisan breakdowns from major pollsters, any visible movement in Iran-related diplomacy or economic indicators, and holiday-period sentiment effects around Independence Day. Historical patterns show approval can fluctuate several points on short-term news cycles even when underlying trends remain stable.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$1,598Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 3, 2026, 8:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: In aumento 0.50, In calo 0.50
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: In aumento 0.50, In calo 0.50
Trump’s approval rating sits near multi-month lows around 37-41% in recent aggregates, with net approval hovering between -18 and -22 amid persistent economic concerns including gas prices and living costs. Trader balance at 50% for an up or down move this week reflects mixed polling signals, including modest week-over-week gains in some tracking averages and isolated releases showing improvement to the mid-40s or higher among likely voters. Developments that could shift the weekly outcome include fresh national or partisan breakdowns from major pollsters, any visible movement in Iran-related diplomacy or economic indicators, and holiday-period sentiment effects around Independence Day. Historical patterns show approval can fluctuate several points on short-term news cycles even when underlying trends remain stable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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