The National Weather Prediction Center's latest Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook highlights slight risks of heavy precipitation exceeding flash flood guidance across portions of the Midwest and Southwest on September 14-15, driven by strong theta-e advection, anomalously high precipitable water values, and organized thunderstorm clusters along a warm front and approaching cold front. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms are also forecast for parts of Florida under humid conditions, while the Northeast sees only a 40% chance of morning showers before clearing. These patterns align with climatological expectations for mid-September convective activity in moisture-rich environments. Traders should monitor updated NWS model consensus runs and the next WPC QPF release for refinements to coverage and intensity thresholds that determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove pioverà il 14 settembre?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
24%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
24%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
24%
Atlanta, GA
24%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
24%
$0.00 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
24%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
24%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
24%
Atlanta, GA
24%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
24%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The National Weather Prediction Center's latest Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook highlights slight risks of heavy precipitation exceeding flash flood guidance across portions of the Midwest and Southwest on September 14-15, driven by strong theta-e advection, anomalously high precipitable water values, and organized thunderstorm clusters along a warm front and approaching cold front. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms are also forecast for parts of Florida under humid conditions, while the Northeast sees only a 40% chance of morning showers before clearing. These patterns align with climatological expectations for mid-September convective activity in moisture-rich environments. Traders should monitor updated NWS model consensus runs and the next WPC QPF release for refinements to coverage and intensity thresholds that determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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