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Politica·Primarie

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Joe Baldacci 54%

Matthew Dunlap 27%

Jordan Wood 22%

Jared Golden <1%

Polymarket

$10,184 Vol.

Joe Baldacci 54%

Matthew Dunlap 27%

Jordan Wood 22%

Jared Golden <1%

Polymarket

$10,184 Vol.

Joe Baldacci

$3,228 Vol.

54%

Matthew Dunlap

$2,849 Vol.

27%

Jordan Wood

$1,849 Vol.

22%

Jared Golden

$2,258 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors state Sen. Joe Baldacci at 54% implied probability to win Maine's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on June 9, driven by his lead in the March Pan Atlantic Research poll (36% to Matt Dunlap's 14% and Jordan Wood's 12% among likely voters) and strong name recognition from brother former Gov. John Baldacci's legacy in the rural battleground district. Incumbent Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement opened the seat, spurring a crowded field where ranked-choice voting could consolidate support. Recent developments include Rep. Ro Khanna's April 1 endorsement boosting Dunlap to 27%, Wood's April informed poll claiming a 67% final-round win amid Swalwell endorsement drama, yet traders prioritize Baldacci's polling edge and fundraising amid undecided voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,184
Data di fine
9 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors state Sen. Joe Baldacci at 54% implied probability to win Maine's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on June 9, driven by his lead in the March Pan Atlantic Research poll (36% to Matt Dunlap's 14% and Jordan Wood's 12% among likely voters) and strong name recognition from brother former Gov. John Baldacci's legacy in the rural battleground district. Incumbent Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement opened the seat, spurring a crowded field where ranked-choice voting could consolidate support. Recent developments include Rep. Ro Khanna's April 1 endorsement boosting Dunlap to 27%, Wood's April informed poll claiming a 67% final-round win amid Swalwell endorsement drama, yet traders prioritize Baldacci's polling edge and fundraising amid undecided voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,184
Data di fine
9 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Joe Baldacci" a 54%, seguito da "Matthew Dunlap" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 54¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 54% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $10.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Joe Baldacci" a 54%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 54% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Matthew Dunlap" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.