Recent forecasts from Met Office-aligned models and services like AccuWeather and Weather25 indicate London’s overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, allowing moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs of 22–24 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 15 °C (50.5 %) and 14 °C (30.5 %) reflects this guidance plus historical August minima averaging 13–14 °C, tempered by the current season’s above-average nocturnal warmth that could limit further drops. Key upcoming data—updated NWP runs and Met Office briefings on August 5–6—will refine the exact threshold, with any shift toward clearer or windier conditions potentially favoring the lower-probability 13 °C outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月6日のロンドンの最低気温は？
15°C 51%
14°C 31%
16°C 12%
13°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
31%
15°C
51%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 51%
14°C 31%
16°C 12%
13°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
10°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$175 Vol.
1%
13°C
$127 Vol.
7%
14°C
$573 Vol.
31%
15°C
$1,352 Vol.
51%
16°C
$164 Vol.
12%
17°C
$175 Vol.
2%
18°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$34 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Met Office-aligned models and services like AccuWeather and Weather25 indicate London’s overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, allowing moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs of 22–24 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 15 °C (50.5 %) and 14 °C (30.5 %) reflects this guidance plus historical August minima averaging 13–14 °C, tempered by the current season’s above-average nocturnal warmth that could limit further drops. Key upcoming data—updated NWP runs and Met Office briefings on August 5–6—will refine the exact threshold, with any shift toward clearer or windier conditions potentially favoring the lower-probability 13 °C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$2,918終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Met Office-aligned models and services like AccuWeather and Weather25 indicate London’s overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, allowing moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs of 22–24 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 15 °C (50.5 %) and 14 °C (30.5 %) reflects this guidance plus historical August minima averaging 13–14 °C, tempered by the current season’s above-average nocturnal warmth that could limit further drops. Key upcoming data—updated NWP runs and Met Office briefings on August 5–6—will refine the exact threshold, with any shift toward clearer or windier conditions potentially favoring the lower-probability 13 °C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,918終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from Met Office-aligned models and services like AccuWeather and Weather25 indicate London’s overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, allowing moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs of 22–24 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 15 °C (50.5 %) and 14 °C (30.5 %) reflects this guidance plus historical August minima averaging 13–14 °C, tempered by the current season’s above-average nocturnal warmth that could limit further drops. Key upcoming data—updated NWP runs and Met Office briefings on August 5–6—will refine the exact threshold, with any shift toward clearer or windier conditions potentially favoring the lower-probability 13 °C outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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