The Nayarit gubernatorial election, scheduled for June 2027, features a dominant Morena-PVEM-PT coalition that polls above 50% statewide preference, far ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano, PAN, and PRI. Trader probabilities cluster around top coalition aspirants because the internal selection process—launched with candidate registrations in June 2026 and surveys to decide the nominee—remains unresolved. Héctor Santana García leads recent internal and head-to-head polling among registered figures, ahead of Geraldine Ponce Méndez and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, though margins have narrowed in some measurements and significant undecided shares persist. Incumbent Governor Miguel Ángel Navarro Quintero’s September 2026 report highlighted security gains and debt reduction, reinforcing coalition positioning without shifting nominee dynamics. Opposition fragmentation and the coalition’s unified ticket selection timeline keep implied probabilities compressed until official candidacies are confirmed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Héctor Santana García 32.4%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 24.3%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 12.9%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.7%
$30,014 Vol.
$30,014 Vol.

Héctor Santana García
32%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
30%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
13%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
12%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
4%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
4%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
1%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%

José Antonio Barajas López
<1%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
<1%

Nadia Ramírez López
<1%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%

Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%

Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Héctor Santana García 32.4%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 24.3%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 12.9%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.7%
$30,014 Vol.
$30,014 Vol.

Héctor Santana García
32%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
30%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
13%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
12%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
4%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
4%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
1%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%

José Antonio Barajas López
<1%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
<1%

Nadia Ramírez López
<1%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%

Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%

Enrique Díaz López
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Nayarit gubernatorial election, scheduled for June 2027, features a dominant Morena-PVEM-PT coalition that polls above 50% statewide preference, far ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano, PAN, and PRI. Trader probabilities cluster around top coalition aspirants because the internal selection process—launched with candidate registrations in June 2026 and surveys to decide the nominee—remains unresolved. Héctor Santana García leads recent internal and head-to-head polling among registered figures, ahead of Geraldine Ponce Méndez and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, though margins have narrowed in some measurements and significant undecided shares persist. Incumbent Governor Miguel Ángel Navarro Quintero’s September 2026 report highlighted security gains and debt reduction, reinforcing coalition positioning without shifting nominee dynamics. Opposition fragmentation and the coalition’s unified ticket selection timeline keep implied probabilities compressed until official candidacies are confirmed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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