**Market-implied odds for the July 2026 PPI YoY release favor a reading of 5.1% or lower at 65%, reflecting trader expectations of continued disinflation following the June print.** The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported June PPI final demand at 5.5% year-over-year—well below the 6.2% consensus—after a 0.3% monthly decline, the largest drop in over a year, led by a sharp 1.4% fall in goods prices and a 12% plunge in gasoline. This outcome, coupled with downward revisions to prior months, has reinforced bets on persistent cooling in wholesale costs ahead of the August 13 release. Market-implied probabilities also assign roughly 10% odds each to 5.2%, 5.3%, and 5.4%, underscoring uncertainty around whether energy-driven relief will extend or reverse amid ongoing labor-market and commodity dynamics. Traders are pricing in a data-dependent path for monetary policy expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日≤5.1% 68%
5.2% 11%
5.4% 9.8%
5.3% 9.1%
$37,625 Vol.
$37,625 Vol.
≤5.1%
68%
5.2%
11%
5.3%
9%
5.4%
10%
5.5%
3%
5.6%
2%
5.7%
3%
5.8%
1%
5.9%
3%
6.0%以上
7%
≤5.1% 68%
5.2% 11%
5.4% 9.8%
5.3% 9.1%
$37,625 Vol.
$37,625 Vol.
≤5.1%
68%
5.2%
11%
5.3%
9%
5.4%
10%
5.5%
3%
5.6%
2%
5.7%
3%
5.8%
1%
5.9%
3%
6.0%以上
7%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日: Jul 16, 2026, 10:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds for the July 2026 PPI YoY release favor a reading of 5.1% or lower at 65%, reflecting trader expectations of continued disinflation following the June print.** The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported June PPI final demand at 5.5% year-over-year—well below the 6.2% consensus—after a 0.3% monthly decline, the largest drop in over a year, led by a sharp 1.4% fall in goods prices and a 12% plunge in gasoline. This outcome, coupled with downward revisions to prior months, has reinforced bets on persistent cooling in wholesale costs ahead of the August 13 release. Market-implied probabilities also assign roughly 10% odds each to 5.2%, 5.3%, and 5.4%, underscoring uncertainty around whether energy-driven relief will extend or reverse amid ongoing labor-market and commodity dynamics. Traders are pricing in a data-dependent path for monetary policy expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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