The House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for Somaliland’s parliament and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice on security risks, technical hurdles with voter registration, and drought impacts that made the original May 2026 schedule unworkable. This institutional decision, backed by the three authorized national parties, has produced the market’s clear consensus that no parliamentary vote will occur before 2027. The three eligible parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and Justice and Welfare (UCID/Kaah)—remain positioned under the six-region proportional system, yet the extension reflects ongoing priorities around operational readiness ahead of the next contest. Late reversal of the mandate or sudden resolution of the cited constraints could still allow an earlier poll, though current procedural and logistical realities make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2027年以前に選挙はなし 98.3%
正義福祉党（UCID） <1%
クルミエ <1%
ワダニ <1%
$111,861 Vol.
$111,861 Vol.
2026/12/31
2027年以前に選挙はなし
98%
正義福祉党（UCID）
1%
クルミエ
<1%
ワダニ
<1%
2027年以前に選挙はなし 98.3%
正義福祉党（UCID） <1%
クルミエ <1%
ワダニ <1%
$111,861 Vol.
$111,861 Vol.
2026/12/31
2027年以前に選挙はなし
$98,207 Vol.
98%
正義福祉党（UCID）
$5,116 Vol.
1%
クルミエ
$3,783 Vol.
<1%
ワダニ
$4,756 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for Somaliland’s parliament and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice on security risks, technical hurdles with voter registration, and drought impacts that made the original May 2026 schedule unworkable. This institutional decision, backed by the three authorized national parties, has produced the market’s clear consensus that no parliamentary vote will occur before 2027. The three eligible parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and Justice and Welfare (UCID/Kaah)—remain positioned under the six-region proportional system, yet the extension reflects ongoing priorities around operational readiness ahead of the next contest. Late reversal of the mandate or sudden resolution of the cited constraints could still allow an earlier poll, though current procedural and logistical realities make such shifts improbable.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
音量
$111,861終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for Somaliland’s parliament and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice on security risks, technical hurdles with voter registration, and drought impacts that made the original May 2026 schedule unworkable. This institutional decision, backed by the three authorized national parties, has produced the market’s clear consensus that no parliamentary vote will occur before 2027. The three eligible parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and Justice and Welfare (UCID/Kaah)—remain positioned under the six-region proportional system, yet the extension reflects ongoing priorities around operational readiness ahead of the next contest. Late reversal of the mandate or sudden resolution of the cited constraints could still allow an earlier poll, though current procedural and logistical realities make such shifts improbable.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
音量
$111,861終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for Somaliland’s parliament and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice on security risks, technical hurdles with voter registration, and drought impacts that made the original May 2026 schedule unworkable. This institutional decision, backed by the three authorized national parties, has produced the market’s clear consensus that no parliamentary vote will occur before 2027. The three eligible parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and Justice and Welfare (UCID/Kaah)—remain positioned under the six-region proportional system, yet the extension reflects ongoing priorities around operational readiness ahead of the next contest. Late reversal of the mandate or sudden resolution of the cited constraints could still allow an earlier poll, though current procedural and logistical realities make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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