Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in this solidly Republican state anchors trader consensus at 95.3 percent. Cotton secured his nomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from her contest as the general-election nominee. Arkansas’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical Senate results continue to shape the wide margin. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national dynamics, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have surfaced to date in this cycle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,129 거래량
$11,129 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican
95%
Democrat
4%
$11,129 거래량
$11,129 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican
$8,099 거래량
95%
Democrat
$3,030 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in this solidly Republican state anchors trader consensus at 95.3 percent. Cotton secured his nomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from her contest as the general-election nominee. Arkansas’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical Senate results continue to shape the wide margin. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national dynamics, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have surfaced to date in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$11,129종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in this solidly Republican state anchors trader consensus at 95.3 percent. Cotton secured his nomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from her contest as the general-election nominee. Arkansas’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical Senate results continue to shape the wide margin. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national dynamics, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have surfaced to date in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$11,129종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in this solidly Republican state anchors trader consensus at 95.3 percent. Cotton secured his nomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from her contest as the general-election nominee. Arkansas’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical Senate results continue to shape the wide margin. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national dynamics, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have surfaced to date in this cycle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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