Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at over 90% for the June 7, 2026, Armenian parliamentary election stems from its strengthening position in the latest EVN Report poll, showing 33.6% vote intention (up 7.5 points) and projected 41-50% share under proportional representation, fueled by improved public confidence in government handling of security, economic projects like TRIPP, and U.S. engagement. Fragmented opposition, with Strong Armenia at 11.4% but hampered by April 16 arrests of 14 members on electoral bribery charges, limits challengers crossing 5% party or 7% alliance thresholds. Scenarios to upend this include a late surge among 37% undecided voters toward consolidated opposition, geopolitical shocks from Azerbaijan or Russia, or scandals targeting Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's administration.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트시빌 컨트랙트 91%
아르메니아 동맹 6%
아르메니아 국민회의 1.9%
헤리티지 1.7%
$104,391 거래량
$104,391 거래량
2026.06.07
시빌 컨트랙트
91%
아르메니아 동맹
6%
아르메니아 국민회의
2%
헤리티지
2%
한라페투튠당
2%
번영하는 아르메니아
1%
오리나츠 예르키르
1%
명예 동맹
1%
밝은 아르메니아
<1%
시빌 컨트랙트 91%
아르메니아 동맹 6%
아르메니아 국민회의 1.9%
헤리티지 1.7%
$104,391 거래량
$104,391 거래량
2026.06.07
시빌 컨트랙트
$41,627 거래량
91%
아르메니아 동맹
$49,743 거래량
6%
아르메니아 국민회의
$2,110 거래량
2%
헤리티지
$1,865 거래량
2%
한라페투튠당
$1,588 거래량
2%
번영하는 아르메니아
$1,658 거래량
1%
오리나츠 예르키르
$1,910 거래량
1%
명예 동맹
$1,509 거래량
1%
밝은 아르메니아
$2,381 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at over 90% for the June 7, 2026, Armenian parliamentary election stems from its strengthening position in the latest EVN Report poll, showing 33.6% vote intention (up 7.5 points) and projected 41-50% share under proportional representation, fueled by improved public confidence in government handling of security, economic projects like TRIPP, and U.S. engagement. Fragmented opposition, with Strong Armenia at 11.4% but hampered by April 16 arrests of 14 members on electoral bribery charges, limits challengers crossing 5% party or 7% alliance thresholds. Scenarios to upend this include a late surge among 37% undecided voters toward consolidated opposition, geopolitical shocks from Azerbaijan or Russia, or scandals targeting Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's administration.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
거래량
$104,391종료일
2026.06.07마켓 개설일
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at over 90% for the June 7, 2026, Armenian parliamentary election stems from its strengthening position in the latest EVN Report poll, showing 33.6% vote intention (up 7.5 points) and projected 41-50% share under proportional representation, fueled by improved public confidence in government handling of security, economic projects like TRIPP, and U.S. engagement. Fragmented opposition, with Strong Armenia at 11.4% but hampered by April 16 arrests of 14 members on electoral bribery charges, limits challengers crossing 5% party or 7% alliance thresholds. Scenarios to upend this include a late surge among 37% undecided voters toward consolidated opposition, geopolitical shocks from Azerbaijan or Russia, or scandals targeting Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's administration.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
거래량
$104,391종료일
2026.06.07마켓 개설일
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at over 90% for the June 7, 2026, Armenian parliamentary election stems from its strengthening position in the latest EVN Report poll, showing 33.6% vote intention (up 7.5 points) and projected 41-50% share under proportional representation, fueled by improved public confidence in government handling of security, economic projects like TRIPP, and U.S. engagement. Fragmented opposition, with Strong Armenia at 11.4% but hampered by April 16 arrests of 14 members on electoral bribery charges, limits challengers crossing 5% party or 7% alliance thresholds. Scenarios to upend this include a late surge among 37% undecided voters toward consolidated opposition, geopolitical shocks from Azerbaijan or Russia, or scandals targeting Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's administration.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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