Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under proportional representation, reflecting recent polls like EVN Report's April 6 survey showing persistent voter support amid undecideds swinging toward the ruling party. Opposition fragmentation—21 parties and alliances registered since April 13, with a 5% threshold for parties and 7% for blocs—dilutes anti-incumbent votes, boosting Civil Contract's path to a potential constitutional majority. Fresh developments include Civil Contract's candidate list submission on April 15 and detentions of pro-Russian opposition figures on April 16, amid recast foreign policy emphasizing Western ties. Late scandals or consolidated opposition could shift odds before registration closes April 23.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트시빌 컨트랙트 91%
아르메니아 동맹 6%
헤리티지 1.9%
아르메니아 국민회의 1.7%
$104,391 거래량
$104,391 거래량
2026.06.07
시빌 컨트랙트
91%
아르메니아 동맹
6%
헤리티지
2%
아르메니아 국민회의
2%
번영하는 아르메니아
2%
한라페투튠당
1%
오리나츠 예르키르
1%
명예 동맹
<1%
밝은 아르메니아
<1%
시빌 컨트랙트 91%
아르메니아 동맹 6%
헤리티지 1.9%
아르메니아 국민회의 1.7%
$104,391 거래량
$104,391 거래량
2026.06.07
시빌 컨트랙트
$41,627 거래량
91%
아르메니아 동맹
$49,743 거래량
6%
헤리티지
$1,865 거래량
2%
아르메니아 국민회의
$2,110 거래량
2%
번영하는 아르메니아
$1,658 거래량
2%
한라페투튠당
$1,588 거래량
1%
오리나츠 예르키르
$1,910 거래량
1%
명예 동맹
$1,509 거래량
<1%
밝은 아르메니아
$2,381 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under proportional representation, reflecting recent polls like EVN Report's April 6 survey showing persistent voter support amid undecideds swinging toward the ruling party. Opposition fragmentation—21 parties and alliances registered since April 13, with a 5% threshold for parties and 7% for blocs—dilutes anti-incumbent votes, boosting Civil Contract's path to a potential constitutional majority. Fresh developments include Civil Contract's candidate list submission on April 15 and detentions of pro-Russian opposition figures on April 16, amid recast foreign policy emphasizing Western ties. Late scandals or consolidated opposition could shift odds before registration closes April 23.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
거래량
$104,391종료일
2026.06.07마켓 개설일
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under proportional representation, reflecting recent polls like EVN Report's April 6 survey showing persistent voter support amid undecideds swinging toward the ruling party. Opposition fragmentation—21 parties and alliances registered since April 13, with a 5% threshold for parties and 7% for blocs—dilutes anti-incumbent votes, boosting Civil Contract's path to a potential constitutional majority. Fresh developments include Civil Contract's candidate list submission on April 15 and detentions of pro-Russian opposition figures on April 16, amid recast foreign policy emphasizing Western ties. Late scandals or consolidated opposition could shift odds before registration closes April 23.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
거래량
$104,391종료일
2026.06.07마켓 개설일
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under proportional representation, reflecting recent polls like EVN Report's April 6 survey showing persistent voter support amid undecideds swinging toward the ruling party. Opposition fragmentation—21 parties and alliances registered since April 13, with a 5% threshold for parties and 7% for blocs—dilutes anti-incumbent votes, boosting Civil Contract's path to a potential constitutional majority. Fresh developments include Civil Contract's candidate list submission on April 15 and detentions of pro-Russian opposition figures on April 16, amid recast foreign policy emphasizing Western ties. Late scandals or consolidated opposition could shift odds before registration closes April 23.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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