Bulgaria faces its eighth parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government and failed mandates to form a coalition amid persistent deadlock. Under proportional representation with a 4% national threshold for 240 seats, recent polls like Market Links (April 7-14) project Progressive Bulgaria—led by former President Rumen Radev—at 109 seats, followed by GERB-SDS (57), PP-DB (37), DPS (21), and VESN (16), positioning these five alliances above the threshold while others like BSP hover near it. Voter turnout concerns, reports of vote-buying crackdowns, and EU-requested aid against suspected Russian disinformation have heightened tensions in the campaign's final days, with no formation expected to secure a majority, complicating post-election coalition talks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$104,155 거래량

BSP
45%

MECh
20%

벨리치에
10%

ITN
2%

APS
2%
$104,155 거래량

BSP
45%

MECh
20%

벨리치에
10%

ITN
2%

APS
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Bulgaria faces its eighth parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government and failed mandates to form a coalition amid persistent deadlock. Under proportional representation with a 4% national threshold for 240 seats, recent polls like Market Links (April 7-14) project Progressive Bulgaria—led by former President Rumen Radev—at 109 seats, followed by GERB-SDS (57), PP-DB (37), DPS (21), and VESN (16), positioning these five alliances above the threshold while others like BSP hover near it. Voter turnout concerns, reports of vote-buying crackdowns, and EU-requested aid against suspected Russian disinformation have heightened tensions in the campaign's final days, with no formation expected to secure a majority, complicating post-election coalition talks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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