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불가리아 국회의원 선거: 어느 정당이 의회에 진출합니까?

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불가리아 국회의원 선거: 어느 정당이 의회에 진출합니까?

$104,155 거래량

2026.04.19
Polymarket

$104,155 거래량

Polymarket
통합좌파(BSP)가 2026년 불가리아 총선에서 최소 한 석이라도 획득할까요? icon

BSP

$30,934 거래량

45%

도덕성, 통합, 명예(MECh)가 2026년 불가리아 총선에서 최소 한 석이라도 얻을까요? icon

MECh

$7,028 거래량

20%

벨리치에(Velichie)가 2026년 불가리아 총선에서 최소 1석이라도 차지할까요? icon

벨리치에

$40,561 거래량

10%

2026년 불가리아 총선에서 "그런 민족이 있다"(ITN)가 최소 한 석이라도 차지할까요? icon

ITN

$11,769 거래량

2%

동맹 권리와 자유를 위한 연합(APS)이 2026년 불가리아 총선에서 최소 한 석이라도 차지할까요? icon

APS

$13,863 거래량

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government and failed mandates to form a coalition amid persistent deadlock. Under proportional representation with a 4% national threshold for 240 seats, recent polls like Market Links (April 7-14) project Progressive Bulgaria—led by former President Rumen Radev—at 109 seats, followed by GERB-SDS (57), PP-DB (37), DPS (21), and VESN (16), positioning these five alliances above the threshold while others like BSP hover near it. Voter turnout concerns, reports of vote-buying crackdowns, and EU-requested aid against suspected Russian disinformation have heightened tensions in the campaign's final days, with no formation expected to secure a majority, complicating post-election coalition talks.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$104,155
종료일
2026.04.19
마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government and failed mandates to form a coalition amid persistent deadlock. Under proportional representation with a 4% national threshold for 240 seats, recent polls like Market Links (April 7-14) project Progressive Bulgaria—led by former President Rumen Radev—at 109 seats, followed by GERB-SDS (57), PP-DB (37), DPS (21), and VESN (16), positioning these five alliances above the threshold while others like BSP hover near it. Voter turnout concerns, reports of vote-buying crackdowns, and EU-requested aid against suspected Russian disinformation have heightened tensions in the campaign's final days, with no formation expected to secure a majority, complicating post-election coalition talks.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$104,155
종료일
2026.04.19
마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"불가리아 국회의원 선거: 어느 정당이 의회에 진출합니까?"은 5개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 46%의 "BSP"이며, 이어서 20%의 "MECh"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 46¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 46%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "불가리아 국회의원 선거: 어느 정당이 의회에 진출합니까?"은 총 $104.2K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 27, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"불가리아 국회의원 선거: 어느 정당이 의회에 진출합니까?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 5개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"불가리아 국회의원 선거: 어느 정당이 의회에 진출합니까?"의 현재 유력 후보는 46%의 "BSP"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 46%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 20%의 "MECh"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"불가리아 국회의원 선거: 어느 정당이 의회에 진출합니까?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.