Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes of 15 seconds or longer at 33.5% and 10–15 seconds at 26.5% for President Trump's upcoming summit with President Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14–15, reflecting the 27-second Busan grip from their October 2025 meeting and Trump's history of extended handshakes to signal rapport amid diplomacy. Recent letter exchanges, where Xi denied arming Iran and Trump anticipated a "big hug," alongside USTR comments pursuing stability over confrontation, have bolstered expectations of a firm greeting despite lingering trade and security tensions. The tight race among longer outcomes stems from variability in protocol-driven photo ops versus Trump's assertive style; escalation signals or protocol shifts could shorten it, while confirmed thaw previews might widen the 15s+ lead before December 31 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트15s+ 35%
10–15s 27%
6–10s 14%
2–6s 9%
$67,635 거래량
$67,635 거래량
2026.12.31
No Handshake
5%
<2s
3%
2–6s
9%
6–10s
14%
10–15s
27%
15s+
35%
Photographed only
2%
15s+ 35%
10–15s 27%
6–10s 14%
2–6s 9%
$67,635 거래량
$67,635 거래량
2026.12.31
No Handshake
$11,520 거래량
5%
<2s
$13,597 거래량
3%
2–6s
$11,312 거래량
9%
6–10s
$4,404 거래량
14%
10–15s
$4,179 거래량
27%
15s+
$9,870 거래량
35%
Photographed only
$12,752 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes of 15 seconds or longer at 33.5% and 10–15 seconds at 26.5% for President Trump's upcoming summit with President Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14–15, reflecting the 27-second Busan grip from their October 2025 meeting and Trump's history of extended handshakes to signal rapport amid diplomacy. Recent letter exchanges, where Xi denied arming Iran and Trump anticipated a "big hug," alongside USTR comments pursuing stability over confrontation, have bolstered expectations of a firm greeting despite lingering trade and security tensions. The tight race among longer outcomes stems from variability in protocol-driven photo ops versus Trump's assertive style; escalation signals or protocol shifts could shorten it, while confirmed thaw previews might widen the 15s+ lead before December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
마켓 개설일: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
거래량
$67,635종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes of 15 seconds or longer at 33.5% and 10–15 seconds at 26.5% for President Trump's upcoming summit with President Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14–15, reflecting the 27-second Busan grip from their October 2025 meeting and Trump's history of extended handshakes to signal rapport amid diplomacy. Recent letter exchanges, where Xi denied arming Iran and Trump anticipated a "big hug," alongside USTR comments pursuing stability over confrontation, have bolstered expectations of a firm greeting despite lingering trade and security tensions. The tight race among longer outcomes stems from variability in protocol-driven photo ops versus Trump's assertive style; escalation signals or protocol shifts could shorten it, while confirmed thaw previews might widen the 15s+ lead before December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
거래량
$67,635종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes of 15 seconds or longer at 33.5% and 10–15 seconds at 26.5% for President Trump's upcoming summit with President Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14–15, reflecting the 27-second Busan grip from their October 2025 meeting and Trump's history of extended handshakes to signal rapport amid diplomacy. Recent letter exchanges, where Xi denied arming Iran and Trump anticipated a "big hug," alongside USTR comments pursuing stability over confrontation, have bolstered expectations of a firm greeting despite lingering trade and security tensions. The tight race among longer outcomes stems from variability in protocol-driven photo ops versus Trump's assertive style; escalation signals or protocol shifts could shorten it, while confirmed thaw previews might widen the 15s+ lead before December 31 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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