Trader consensus reflects an 89.5% implied probability that Zhang Youxia will not be sentenced to prison before 2027, driven by the absence of formal charges, trial, or conviction announcements three months after China's Ministry of National Defense placed the former Central Military Commission vice chairman under investigation for serious violations of Party discipline and law on January 24, 2026. As a longtime Xi Jinping ally and Politburo member, Zhang was swiftly removed from his posts amid an expanding PLA anti-corruption purge targeting Rocket Force and senior generals, yet state media has issued no updates on judicial proceedings. His continued absence from events like the March CPPCC session underscores opacity in elite cases, where public sentencings remain rare; historical patterns suggest prolonged internal handling over swift trials, with over eight months remaining in the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$105,794 거래량
$105,794 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$105,794 거래량
$105,794 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 89.5% implied probability that Zhang Youxia will not be sentenced to prison before 2027, driven by the absence of formal charges, trial, or conviction announcements three months after China's Ministry of National Defense placed the former Central Military Commission vice chairman under investigation for serious violations of Party discipline and law on January 24, 2026. As a longtime Xi Jinping ally and Politburo member, Zhang was swiftly removed from his posts amid an expanding PLA anti-corruption purge targeting Rocket Force and senior generals, yet state media has issued no updates on judicial proceedings. His continued absence from events like the March CPPCC session underscores opacity in elite cases, where public sentencings remain rare; historical patterns suggest prolonged internal handling over swift trials, with over eight months remaining in the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
거래량
$105,794종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 89.5% implied probability that Zhang Youxia will not be sentenced to prison before 2027, driven by the absence of formal charges, trial, or conviction announcements three months after China's Ministry of National Defense placed the former Central Military Commission vice chairman under investigation for serious violations of Party discipline and law on January 24, 2026. As a longtime Xi Jinping ally and Politburo member, Zhang was swiftly removed from his posts amid an expanding PLA anti-corruption purge targeting Rocket Force and senior generals, yet state media has issued no updates on judicial proceedings. His continued absence from events like the March CPPCC session underscores opacity in elite cases, where public sentencings remain rare; historical patterns suggest prolonged internal handling over swift trials, with over eight months remaining in the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$105,794종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 89.5% implied probability that Zhang Youxia will not be sentenced to prison before 2027, driven by the absence of formal charges, trial, or conviction announcements three months after China's Ministry of National Defense placed the former Central Military Commission vice chairman under investigation for serious violations of Party discipline and law on January 24, 2026. As a longtime Xi Jinping ally and Politburo member, Zhang was swiftly removed from his posts amid an expanding PLA anti-corruption purge targeting Rocket Force and senior generals, yet state media has issued no updates on judicial proceedings. His continued absence from events like the March CPPCC session underscores opacity in elite cases, where public sentencings remain rare; historical patterns suggest prolonged internal handling over swift trials, with over eight months remaining in the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문