President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he remains beyond his May 15 chairmanship expiration has intensified uncertainty around Fed leadership continuity, with Powell's governor term extending to January 2028. Powell affirmed in March he will serve as interim chair until nominee Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation and stay on the Board pending resolution of a DOJ probe into Fed renovations, underscoring tensions over central bank independence amid Trump's push for policy alignment. Traders weigh this against historical precedent where chairs often exit fully, with market-implied odds reflecting real-money bets on potential forced departure versus institutional norms; key catalysts include Warsh's confirmation timeline and probe outcome, influencing FOMC rate path expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$135,227 거래량
2026.12.31
5월 30일
30%
12월 31일
63%
$135,227 거래량
5월 30일
$81,298 거래량
30%
12월 31일
$53,929 거래량
63%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he remains beyond his May 15 chairmanship expiration has intensified uncertainty around Fed leadership continuity, with Powell's governor term extending to January 2028. Powell affirmed in March he will serve as interim chair until nominee Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation and stay on the Board pending resolution of a DOJ probe into Fed renovations, underscoring tensions over central bank independence amid Trump's push for policy alignment. Traders weigh this against historical precedent where chairs often exit fully, with market-implied odds reflecting real-money bets on potential forced departure versus institutional norms; key catalysts include Warsh's confirmation timeline and probe outcome, influencing FOMC rate path expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
마켓 개설일: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
거래량
$135,227종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he remains beyond his May 15 chairmanship expiration has intensified uncertainty around Fed leadership continuity, with Powell's governor term extending to January 2028. Powell affirmed in March he will serve as interim chair until nominee Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation and stay on the Board pending resolution of a DOJ probe into Fed renovations, underscoring tensions over central bank independence amid Trump's push for policy alignment. Traders weigh this against historical precedent where chairs often exit fully, with market-implied odds reflecting real-money bets on potential forced departure versus institutional norms; key catalysts include Warsh's confirmation timeline and probe outcome, influencing FOMC rate path expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
거래량
$135,227종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he remains beyond his May 15 chairmanship expiration has intensified uncertainty around Fed leadership continuity, with Powell's governor term extending to January 2028. Powell affirmed in March he will serve as interim chair until nominee Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation and stay on the Board pending resolution of a DOJ probe into Fed renovations, underscoring tensions over central bank independence amid Trump's push for policy alignment. Traders weigh this against historical precedent where chairs often exit fully, with market-implied odds reflecting real-money bets on potential forced departure versus institutional norms; key catalysts include Warsh's confirmation timeline and probe outcome, influencing FOMC rate path expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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