Trader consensus on Polymarket prices AfD at 83.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen under proportional representation. The latest INSA poll for Nordkurier (March 17, 2026) shows AfD at 34% versus SPD's 26%, following a February Forsa survey where AfD hit 37% amid SPD gains earlier in the year. No new polls have emerged in the past 30 days, sustaining AfD's dominance amid fragmented opposition—CDU at 12%, Die Linke 10%, BSW and Grüne at 5% each. The incumbent SPD-Die Linke coalition struggles as campaign dynamics unfold toward election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트AfD 84%
SPD 11%
CDU 1.8%
그뤼네 <1%
$199,652 거래량
$199,652 거래량
2026.09.20
AfD
84%
SPD
11%
CDU
2%
그뤼네
1%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
링케
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 84%
SPD 11%
CDU 1.8%
그뤼네 <1%
$199,652 거래량
$199,652 거래량
2026.09.20
AfD
$5,711 거래량
84%
SPD
$34,390 거래량
11%
CDU
$26,439 거래량
2%
그뤼네
$50,910 거래량
1%
BSW
$10,350 거래량
1%
FDP
$45,919 거래량
<1%
링케
$7,218 거래량
<1%
FW
$18,715 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices AfD at 83.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen under proportional representation. The latest INSA poll for Nordkurier (March 17, 2026) shows AfD at 34% versus SPD's 26%, following a February Forsa survey where AfD hit 37% amid SPD gains earlier in the year. No new polls have emerged in the past 30 days, sustaining AfD's dominance amid fragmented opposition—CDU at 12%, Die Linke 10%, BSW and Grüne at 5% each. The incumbent SPD-Die Linke coalition struggles as campaign dynamics unfold toward election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
거래량
$199,652종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices AfD at 83.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen under proportional representation. The latest INSA poll for Nordkurier (March 17, 2026) shows AfD at 34% versus SPD's 26%, following a February Forsa survey where AfD hit 37% amid SPD gains earlier in the year. No new polls have emerged in the past 30 days, sustaining AfD's dominance amid fragmented opposition—CDU at 12%, Die Linke 10%, BSW and Grüne at 5% each. The incumbent SPD-Die Linke coalition struggles as campaign dynamics unfold toward election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
거래량
$199,652종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices AfD at 83.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent Sonntagsfragen under proportional representation. The latest INSA poll for Nordkurier (March 17, 2026) shows AfD at 34% versus SPD's 26%, following a February Forsa survey where AfD hit 37% amid SPD gains earlier in the year. No new polls have emerged in the past 30 days, sustaining AfD's dominance amid fragmented opposition—CDU at 12%, Die Linke 10%, BSW and Grüne at 5% each. The incumbent SPD-Die Linke coalition struggles as campaign dynamics unfold toward election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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