Polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, general election show the Social Democrats (S) leading at around 33% in recent averages, bolstering trader consensus on Magdalena Andersson as the trader-favored next prime minister at 57.5% implied probability, given her strong 36% in an April Ipsos preferred leader survey versus Ulf Kristersson's 16%. Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to a majority right-wing coalition including Sweden Democrats (SD) ministers on migration—building on the March "Sweden Promise" pact—appears to have widened the centre-left bloc's lead to about 9 points, per post-announcement surveys, hurting the incumbent Tidö parties' path in the proportional representation system. Coalition negotiations post-election will determine the Riksdag's simple majority pick, with no snap election signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트마그달레나 안데르손 57%
울프 크리스테르손 33%
지미 오케손 4.3%
엠바 부슈 1.1%
$1,800,076 거래량
$1,800,076 거래량
마그달레나 안데르손
57%
울프 크리스테르손
33%
지미 오케손
4%
엠바 부슈
1%
누시 다드고스타르
<1%
안나-카린 하트
<1%
아만다 린드
<1%
시모나 모함손
<1%
다니엘 헬덴
<1%
엘리사벳 탄드 링크비스트
<1%
마그달레나 안데르손 57%
울프 크리스테르손 33%
지미 오케손 4.3%
엠바 부슈 1.1%
$1,800,076 거래량
$1,800,076 거래량
마그달레나 안데르손
57%
울프 크리스테르손
33%
지미 오케손
4%
엠바 부슈
1%
누시 다드고스타르
<1%
안나-카린 하트
<1%
아만다 린드
<1%
시모나 모함손
<1%
다니엘 헬덴
<1%
엘리사벳 탄드 링크비스트
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, general election show the Social Democrats (S) leading at around 33% in recent averages, bolstering trader consensus on Magdalena Andersson as the trader-favored next prime minister at 57.5% implied probability, given her strong 36% in an April Ipsos preferred leader survey versus Ulf Kristersson's 16%. Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to a majority right-wing coalition including Sweden Democrats (SD) ministers on migration—building on the March "Sweden Promise" pact—appears to have widened the centre-left bloc's lead to about 9 points, per post-announcement surveys, hurting the incumbent Tidö parties' path in the proportional representation system. Coalition negotiations post-election will determine the Riksdag's simple majority pick, with no snap election signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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