With over 92% of ballots processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE), Keiko Fujimori leads the first-round presidential vote at around 17%, while leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú holds a slim lead over ultraconservative Rafael López Aliaga for second place, separated by roughly 12,000 votes as of April 16. Traders price López Aliaga at 63% implied probability for third due to his dominance in undercounted Lima actas (over 90% processed) and expatriate ballots (under 50% tallied), where he outperforms Sánchez's rural base, now largely counted. López Aliaga's fraud allegations and request to the National Elections Jury (JNE) to suspend second- and third-place proclamations add uncertainty ahead of full certification and the June 7 runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트라파엘 로페스 알리아가 63.0%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노 36.1%
호르헤 니에토 1.3%
리카르도 벨몬트 <1%
$579,090 거래량
$579,090 거래량
2026.04.12
라파엘 로페스 알리아가
63%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
36%
호르헤 니에토
1%
리카르도 벨몬트
<1%
케이코 후지모리
<1%
호세 루나
<1%
피오렐라 몰리넬리
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
볼프강 그로조
<1%
페르난도 올리베라
<1%
카를로스 알바레즈
<1%
알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%
조지 포르사이쓰
<1%
엔리케 발데라마
<1%
메시아스 게바라
<1%
세사르 아쿠냐
<1%
로베르토 치아브라
<1%
카를로스 에스파
<1%
마리솔 페레스 텔로
<1%
마리오 비스카라
<1%
블라디미르 세론
<1%
호세 윌리엄스
<1%
라파엘 벨라운데 요사
<1%
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 63.0%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노 36.1%
호르헤 니에토 1.3%
리카르도 벨몬트 <1%
$579,090 거래량
$579,090 거래량
2026.04.12
라파엘 로페스 알리아가
$125,100 거래량
63%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
$101,677 거래량
36%
호르헤 니에토
$116,517 거래량
1%
리카르도 벨몬트
$51,553 거래량
<1%
케이코 후지모리
$10,351 거래량
<1%
호세 루나
$8,597 거래량
<1%
피오렐라 몰리넬리
$8,988 거래량
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$7,924 거래량
<1%
볼프강 그로조
$8,577 거래량
<1%
페르난도 올리베라
$9,843 거래량
<1%
카를로스 알바레즈
$14,605 거래량
<1%
알폰소 로페스 차우
$8,739 거래량
<1%
조지 포르사이쓰
$11,778 거래량
<1%
엔리케 발데라마
$8,981 거래량
<1%
메시아스 게바라
$8,550 거래량
<1%
세사르 아쿠냐
$8,178 거래량
<1%
로베르토 치아브라
$9,865 거래량
<1%
카를로스 에스파
$11,161 거래량
<1%
마리솔 페레스 텔로
$9,308 거래량
<1%
마리오 비스카라
$8,215 거래량
<1%
블라디미르 세론
$8,555 거래량
<1%
호세 윌리엄스
$9,949 거래량
<1%
라파엘 벨라운데 요사
$12,081 거래량
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 92% of ballots processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE), Keiko Fujimori leads the first-round presidential vote at around 17%, while leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú holds a slim lead over ultraconservative Rafael López Aliaga for second place, separated by roughly 12,000 votes as of April 16. Traders price López Aliaga at 63% implied probability for third due to his dominance in undercounted Lima actas (over 90% processed) and expatriate ballots (under 50% tallied), where he outperforms Sánchez's rural base, now largely counted. López Aliaga's fraud allegations and request to the National Elections Jury (JNE) to suspend second- and third-place proclamations add uncertainty ahead of full certification and the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
거래량
$579,090종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 92% of ballots processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE), Keiko Fujimori leads the first-round presidential vote at around 17%, while leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú holds a slim lead over ultraconservative Rafael López Aliaga for second place, separated by roughly 12,000 votes as of April 16. Traders price López Aliaga at 63% implied probability for third due to his dominance in undercounted Lima actas (over 90% processed) and expatriate ballots (under 50% tallied), where he outperforms Sánchez's rural base, now largely counted. López Aliaga's fraud allegations and request to the National Elections Jury (JNE) to suspend second- and third-place proclamations add uncertainty ahead of full certification and the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
거래량
$579,090종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 92% of ballots processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE), Keiko Fujimori leads the first-round presidential vote at around 17%, while leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú holds a slim lead over ultraconservative Rafael López Aliaga for second place, separated by roughly 12,000 votes as of April 16. Traders price López Aliaga at 63% implied probability for third due to his dominance in undercounted Lima actas (over 90% processed) and expatriate ballots (under 50% tallied), where he outperforms Sánchez's rural base, now largely counted. López Aliaga's fraud allegations and request to the National Elections Jury (JNE) to suspend second- and third-place proclamations add uncertainty ahead of full certification and the June 7 runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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