Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the winner of Saxony-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election, with 87% implied probability reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in polls—latest INSA survey (March 17-24) at 38% AfD versus 25% Christian Democrats (CDU), stable from January's 39-26 split. AfD's April 11-13 party congress adoption of a program emphasizing strict migration controls, expanded policing, and practical schooling has reinforced its momentum amid eastern Germany's proportional representation system, where it projects 36 of 87 seats. Incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under new Minister-President Sven Schulze (since January 28) trails, with SPD at 6% facing internal crises; other parties like BSW (5%), The Left (13%), FDP (3%), and Greens (4%) hover near or below the 5% threshold, limiting upset potential absent major shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트AfD 87%
CDU 8.9%
BSW 1.0%
FDP 1.0%
$672,298 거래량
$672,298 거래량
2026.09.06
AfD
87%
CDU
9%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
좌파
1%
SPD
1%
녹색당
<1%
AfD 87%
CDU 8.9%
BSW 1.0%
FDP 1.0%
$672,298 거래량
$672,298 거래량
2026.09.06
AfD
$10,363 거래량
87%
CDU
$467,866 거래량
9%
BSW
$16,338 거래량
1%
FDP
$12,033 거래량
1%
좌파
$33,116 거래량
1%
SPD
$105,688 거래량
1%
녹색당
$26,894 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the winner of Saxony-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election, with 87% implied probability reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in polls—latest INSA survey (March 17-24) at 38% AfD versus 25% Christian Democrats (CDU), stable from January's 39-26 split. AfD's April 11-13 party congress adoption of a program emphasizing strict migration controls, expanded policing, and practical schooling has reinforced its momentum amid eastern Germany's proportional representation system, where it projects 36 of 87 seats. Incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under new Minister-President Sven Schulze (since January 28) trails, with SPD at 6% facing internal crises; other parties like BSW (5%), The Left (13%), FDP (3%), and Greens (4%) hover near or below the 5% threshold, limiting upset potential absent major shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
거래량
$672,298종료일
2026.09.06마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the winner of Saxony-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election, with 87% implied probability reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in polls—latest INSA survey (March 17-24) at 38% AfD versus 25% Christian Democrats (CDU), stable from January's 39-26 split. AfD's April 11-13 party congress adoption of a program emphasizing strict migration controls, expanded policing, and practical schooling has reinforced its momentum amid eastern Germany's proportional representation system, where it projects 36 of 87 seats. Incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under new Minister-President Sven Schulze (since January 28) trails, with SPD at 6% facing internal crises; other parties like BSW (5%), The Left (13%), FDP (3%), and Greens (4%) hover near or below the 5% threshold, limiting upset potential absent major shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
거래량
$672,298종료일
2026.09.06마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the winner of Saxony-Anhalt's September 6 Landtag election, with 87% implied probability reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in polls—latest INSA survey (March 17-24) at 38% AfD versus 25% Christian Democrats (CDU), stable from January's 39-26 split. AfD's April 11-13 party congress adoption of a program emphasizing strict migration controls, expanded policing, and practical schooling has reinforced its momentum amid eastern Germany's proportional representation system, where it projects 36 of 87 seats. Incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under new Minister-President Sven Schulze (since January 28) trails, with SPD at 6% facing internal crises; other parties like BSW (5%), The Left (13%), FDP (3%), and Greens (4%) hover near or below the 5% threshold, limiting upset potential absent major shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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