Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to win the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent national polls amid Sweden's proportional representation system. Latest surveys, including Kantar-Sifo (April 11) and Verian (ending April 5), show S at 32-33%, well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%, with no major shifts in the past 30 days despite the incumbent Tidö bloc's (M, KD, L, SD) slim parliamentary majority projections. Stable voter intentions prioritize S's incumbency advantages and opposition momentum, though coalition negotiations could influence government formation post-election; late scandals or economic shocks remain potential disruptors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S) 89%
보수당(M) 5.5%
스웨덴민주당 (SD) 4.9%
녹색당(MP) <1%
$1,085,211 거래량
$1,085,211 거래량

스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S)
89%

보수당(M)
6%

스웨덴민주당 (SD)
5%

녹색당(MP)
1%

좌파당(V)
<1%

시민연합(MED)
<1%

중도당 (C)
<1%

기독민주당(KD)
<1%

자유당(L)
<1%
스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S) 89%
보수당(M) 5.5%
스웨덴민주당 (SD) 4.9%
녹색당(MP) <1%
$1,085,211 거래량
$1,085,211 거래량

스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S)
89%

보수당(M)
6%

스웨덴민주당 (SD)
5%

녹색당(MP)
1%

좌파당(V)
<1%

시민연합(MED)
<1%

중도당 (C)
<1%

기독민주당(KD)
<1%

자유당(L)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to win the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent national polls amid Sweden's proportional representation system. Latest surveys, including Kantar-Sifo (April 11) and Verian (ending April 5), show S at 32-33%, well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%, with no major shifts in the past 30 days despite the incumbent Tidö bloc's (M, KD, L, SD) slim parliamentary majority projections. Stable voter intentions prioritize S's incumbency advantages and opposition momentum, though coalition negotiations could influence government formation post-election; late scandals or economic shocks remain potential disruptors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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