Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in the 13 September 2026 Riksdag election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls. The latest Verian survey (23 March–5 April 2026) shows S at 33%, well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17%, with aggregates like PolitPro confirming S around 33% versus rivals below 21%. This positioning stems from the Tidö government's eroding support—SD declining over 1% recently—while the red-green opposition bloc edges toward a majority. Absent major catalysts like economic downturns or scandals in the coming months, structural polling advantages and historical trends underpin S's dominance, though coalition negotiations post-election will shape the prime minister selection.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S) 89%
보수당(M) 5.5%
스웨덴민주당 (SD) 4.9%
녹색당(MP) <1%
$1,085,211 거래량
$1,085,211 거래량
2026.09.13
스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S)
89%
보수당(M)
6%
스웨덴민주당 (SD)
5%
녹색당(MP)
1%
중도당 (C)
<1%
좌파당(V)
<1%
시민연합(MED)
<1%
기독민주당(KD)
<1%
자유당(L)
<1%
스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S) 89%
보수당(M) 5.5%
스웨덴민주당 (SD) 4.9%
녹색당(MP) <1%
$1,085,211 거래량
$1,085,211 거래량
2026.09.13
스웨덴 사회민주노동당 (S)
$31,681 거래량
89%
보수당(M)
$377,273 거래량
6%
스웨덴민주당 (SD)
$509,329 거래량
5%
녹색당(MP)
$93,229 거래량
1%
중도당 (C)
$16,456 거래량
<1%
좌파당(V)
$14,895 거래량
<1%
시민연합(MED)
$13,438 거래량
<1%
기독민주당(KD)
$14,382 거래량
<1%
자유당(L)
$14,529 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in the 13 September 2026 Riksdag election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls. The latest Verian survey (23 March–5 April 2026) shows S at 33%, well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17%, with aggregates like PolitPro confirming S around 33% versus rivals below 21%. This positioning stems from the Tidö government's eroding support—SD declining over 1% recently—while the red-green opposition bloc edges toward a majority. Absent major catalysts like economic downturns or scandals in the coming months, structural polling advantages and historical trends underpin S's dominance, though coalition negotiations post-election will shape the prime minister selection.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
거래량
$1,085,211종료일
2026.09.13마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in the 13 September 2026 Riksdag election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls. The latest Verian survey (23 March–5 April 2026) shows S at 33%, well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17%, with aggregates like PolitPro confirming S around 33% versus rivals below 21%. This positioning stems from the Tidö government's eroding support—SD declining over 1% recently—while the red-green opposition bloc edges toward a majority. Absent major catalysts like economic downturns or scandals in the coming months, structural polling advantages and historical trends underpin S's dominance, though coalition negotiations post-election will shape the prime minister selection.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
거래량
$1,085,211종료일
2026.09.13마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in the 13 September 2026 Riksdag election under proportional representation, reflecting consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls. The latest Verian survey (23 March–5 April 2026) shows S at 33%, well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17%, with aggregates like PolitPro confirming S around 33% versus rivals below 21%. This positioning stems from the Tidö government's eroding support—SD declining over 1% recently—while the red-green opposition bloc edges toward a majority. Absent major catalysts like economic downturns or scandals in the coming months, structural polling advantages and historical trends underpin S's dominance, though coalition negotiations post-election will shape the prime minister selection.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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