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지정학·베네수엘라

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

Market icon
지정학·베네수엘라

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

26% 확률
Polymarket

$12,646 거래량

26% 확률
Polymarket

$12,646 거래량

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 75% implied probability for US federal charges against Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel, driven by the absence of any Department of Justice indictment since early March reports of a working group exploring potential cases amid Trump administration demands for his resignation. Recent diplomatic developments, including confirmed US-Cuba negotiations acknowledged by Díaz-Canel on March 13 and his April 10 NBC interview rejecting US pressure to step down, have pivoted focus from legal action to talks on political prisoners and regime change. The Cuban ambassador's March 20 denial of removal discussions, alongside Díaz-Canel's April 12 warnings of resistance to deposition attempts, underscore stalled prosecutorial momentum, with traders betting against charges by the June 30 deadline absent new catalysts like escalated sanctions or evidence disclosures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$12,646
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 5:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 75% implied probability for US federal charges against Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel, driven by the absence of any Department of Justice indictment since early March reports of a working group exploring potential cases amid Trump administration demands for his resignation. Recent diplomatic developments, including confirmed US-Cuba negotiations acknowledged by Díaz-Canel on March 13 and his April 10 NBC interview rejecting US pressure to step down, have pivoted focus from legal action to talks on political prisoners and regime change. The Cuban ambassador's March 20 denial of removal discussions, alongside Díaz-Canel's April 12 warnings of resistance to deposition attempts, underscore stalled prosecutorial momentum, with traders betting against charges by the June 30 deadline absent new catalysts like escalated sanctions or evidence disclosures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$12,646
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 5:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 26%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 26¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 26%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?"은 총 $12.6K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 9, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 26%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 26%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.