Marathon US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad concluded without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours, with Vice President JD Vance stating Iran rejected American terms for a nuclear suspension amid demands to limit enrichment and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Trump administration responded by directing the US military to blockade Iranian ports, escalating tensions in the ongoing conflict and dimming prospects for a deal by April 30. Deep divisions over nuclear curbs—echoing past JCPOA disputes—persist, though officials signal a potential second round soon; traders' 71% "No" consensus reflects the failed first talks, tight two-week timeline, and hardening US posture despite diplomatic overtures.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,267,316 거래량
$1,267,316 거래량
2026.04.30
예
$1,267,316 거래량
$1,267,316 거래량
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Marathon US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad concluded without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours, with Vice President JD Vance stating Iran rejected American terms for a nuclear suspension amid demands to limit enrichment and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Trump administration responded by directing the US military to blockade Iranian ports, escalating tensions in the ongoing conflict and dimming prospects for a deal by April 30. Deep divisions over nuclear curbs—echoing past JCPOA disputes—persist, though officials signal a potential second round soon; traders' 71% "No" consensus reflects the failed first talks, tight two-week timeline, and hardening US posture despite diplomatic overtures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
거래량
$1,267,316종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Marathon US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad concluded without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours, with Vice President JD Vance stating Iran rejected American terms for a nuclear suspension amid demands to limit enrichment and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Trump administration responded by directing the US military to blockade Iranian ports, escalating tensions in the ongoing conflict and dimming prospects for a deal by April 30. Deep divisions over nuclear curbs—echoing past JCPOA disputes—persist, though officials signal a potential second round soon; traders' 71% "No" consensus reflects the failed first talks, tight two-week timeline, and hardening US posture despite diplomatic overtures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$1,267,416종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Marathon US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad concluded without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours, with Vice President JD Vance stating Iran rejected American terms for a nuclear suspension amid demands to limit enrichment and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Trump administration responded by directing the US military to blockade Iranian ports, escalating tensions in the ongoing conflict and dimming prospects for a deal by April 30. Deep divisions over nuclear curbs—echoing past JCPOA disputes—persist, though officials signal a potential second round soon; traders' 71% "No" consensus reflects the failed first talks, tight two-week timeline, and hardening US posture despite diplomatic overtures.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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