Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12—where US Vice President JD Vance's delegation pressed terms on nuclear enrichment and sanctions relief without agreement—diplomats mediated by Pakistan are now arranging a potential second round as early as this week. President Trump expressed optimism for talks resuming imminently, amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz pressuring Iran's oil exports and a two-week ceasefire expiring around April 22. Sticking points include Tehran's sovereignty demands and Washington's security guarantees, with Pakistani shuttles facilitating indirect dialogue as the primary near-term catalyst shaping trader consensus on further diplomatic engagement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,172,244 거래량
2026.04.30
4월 16일
1%
4월 17일
4%
4월 18일
9%
4월 22일
69%
4월 30일
89%
$1,172,244 거래량
4월 16일
$100,943 거래량
1%
4월 17일
$51,311 거래량
4%
4월 18일
$588,306 거래량
9%
4월 22일
$233,794 거래량
69%
4월 30일
$128,617 거래량
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12—where US Vice President JD Vance's delegation pressed terms on nuclear enrichment and sanctions relief without agreement—diplomats mediated by Pakistan are now arranging a potential second round as early as this week. President Trump expressed optimism for talks resuming imminently, amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz pressuring Iran's oil exports and a two-week ceasefire expiring around April 22. Sticking points include Tehran's sovereignty demands and Washington's security guarantees, with Pakistani shuttles facilitating indirect dialogue as the primary near-term catalyst shaping trader consensus on further diplomatic engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
거래량
$1,172,244종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12—where US Vice President JD Vance's delegation pressed terms on nuclear enrichment and sanctions relief without agreement—diplomats mediated by Pakistan are now arranging a potential second round as early as this week. President Trump expressed optimism for talks resuming imminently, amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz pressuring Iran's oil exports and a two-week ceasefire expiring around April 22. Sticking points include Tehran's sovereignty demands and Washington's security guarantees, with Pakistani shuttles facilitating indirect dialogue as the primary near-term catalyst shaping trader consensus on further diplomatic engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,172,244종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12—where US Vice President JD Vance's delegation pressed terms on nuclear enrichment and sanctions relief without agreement—diplomats mediated by Pakistan are now arranging a potential second round as early as this week. President Trump expressed optimism for talks resuming imminently, amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz pressuring Iran's oil exports and a two-week ceasefire expiring around April 22. Sticking points include Tehran's sovereignty demands and Washington's security guarantees, with Pakistani shuttles facilitating indirect dialogue as the primary near-term catalyst shaping trader consensus on further diplomatic engagement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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