Efforts to schedule a second round of high-level US-Iran talks intensified this week after the first direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 11 following 21 hours without a peace deal, prompting a US naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz to enforce sanctions. President Trump indicated resumption could occur soon, while Pakistani mediators, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, met Iranian officials in Tehran on April 15 to bridge gaps ahead of ceasefire expiration. These rare diplomatic engagements, focused on nuclear constraints and sanctions relief, reflect fragile de-escalation signals amid ongoing proxy tensions, with traders eyeing confirmation of a meeting for resolution amid oil price volatility and blockade enforcement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,055,688 거래량
2026.04.30
4월 15일
<1%
4월 16일
1%
4월 17일
8%
4월 18일
21%
4월 22일
72%
4월 30일
89%
$1,055,688 거래량
4월 15일
$74,657 거래량
<1%
4월 16일
$84,663 거래량
1%
4월 17일
$36,714 거래량
8%
4월 18일
$523,018 거래량
21%
4월 22일
$222,504 거래량
72%
4월 30일
$114,629 거래량
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Efforts to schedule a second round of high-level US-Iran talks intensified this week after the first direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 11 following 21 hours without a peace deal, prompting a US naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz to enforce sanctions. President Trump indicated resumption could occur soon, while Pakistani mediators, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, met Iranian officials in Tehran on April 15 to bridge gaps ahead of ceasefire expiration. These rare diplomatic engagements, focused on nuclear constraints and sanctions relief, reflect fragile de-escalation signals amid ongoing proxy tensions, with traders eyeing confirmation of a meeting for resolution amid oil price volatility and blockade enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
거래량
$1,055,688종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Efforts to schedule a second round of high-level US-Iran talks intensified this week after the first direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 11 following 21 hours without a peace deal, prompting a US naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz to enforce sanctions. President Trump indicated resumption could occur soon, while Pakistani mediators, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, met Iranian officials in Tehran on April 15 to bridge gaps ahead of ceasefire expiration. These rare diplomatic engagements, focused on nuclear constraints and sanctions relief, reflect fragile de-escalation signals amid ongoing proxy tensions, with traders eyeing confirmation of a meeting for resolution amid oil price volatility and blockade enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,055,688종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Efforts to schedule a second round of high-level US-Iran talks intensified this week after the first direct negotiations in Islamabad collapsed on April 11 following 21 hours without a peace deal, prompting a US naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz to enforce sanctions. President Trump indicated resumption could occur soon, while Pakistani mediators, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, met Iranian officials in Tehran on April 15 to bridge gaps ahead of ceasefire expiration. These rare diplomatic engagements, focused on nuclear constraints and sanctions relief, reflect fragile de-escalation signals amid ongoing proxy tensions, with traders eyeing confirmation of a meeting for resolution amid oil price volatility and blockade enforcement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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