Diplomats mediated by Pakistan are arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks imminently, potentially as early as this week in Islamabad, following the failure of initial 21-hour negotiations there on April 11-12 that involved US Vice President JD Vance alongside envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. The fragile ceasefire nears expiration amid a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, heightening urgency for de-escalation. Iranian attendees may include Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi or Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, per reports, as President Trump expressed optimism for resumption within days. Markets reflect trader consensus on likely delegations amid stalled peace efforts and military standoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,709 거래량
Donald Trump
9%
Marco Rubio
10%
J.D. Vance
81%
Jared Kushner
78%
Steve Witkoff
87%
$15,709 거래량
Donald Trump
9%
Marco Rubio
10%
J.D. Vance
81%
Jared Kushner
78%
Steve Witkoff
87%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomats mediated by Pakistan are arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks imminently, potentially as early as this week in Islamabad, following the failure of initial 21-hour negotiations there on April 11-12 that involved US Vice President JD Vance alongside envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. The fragile ceasefire nears expiration amid a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, heightening urgency for de-escalation. Iranian attendees may include Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi or Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, per reports, as President Trump expressed optimism for resumption within days. Markets reflect trader consensus on likely delegations amid stalled peace efforts and military standoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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