Recent firings of Attorney General Pam Bondi and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early April 2026—amid reported performance disputes and internal tensions—have intensified trader consensus on elevated turnover risks in the Trump administration, mirroring the first term's sky-high departure rates. President Trump is openly considering further Cabinet shake-ups, with speculation centering on FBI Director Kash Patel due to policy clashes over national security and counterterrorism, as seen in March's resignation of top counterterrorism official Joe Kent. Upcoming Senate confirmation hearings for replacements and the 2026 midterms could prompt additional exits or stabilize the lineup, while historical patterns show over 80% Cabinet turnover by a president's third year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$968,216 거래량
2026.12.31
로리 차베스-드레머
77%
카시 파텔
59%
크리스티 노엠
56%
툴시 가버드
53%
피트 헥셋
49%
하워드 루트닉
49%
카롤라인 레빗
48%
리 젤딘
40%
데이비드 색스
37%
수지 와일스
35%
로버트 F. 케네디 주니어
28%
존 래트클리프
27%
톰 호만
26%
스티븐 밀러
21%
스콧 베센트
18%
마르코 루비오
16%
러셀 보트
26%
댄 스카비노
32%
$968,216 거래량
로리 차베스-드레머
$4,186 거래량
77%
카시 파텔
$195,173 거래량
59%
크리스티 노엠
$86,800 거래량
56%
툴시 가버드
$46,520 거래량
53%
피트 헥셋
$48,656 거래량
49%
하워드 루트닉
$57,523 거래량
49%
카롤라인 레빗
$15,889 거래량
48%
리 젤딘
$26,052 거래량
40%
데이비드 색스
$6,994 거래량
37%
수지 와일스
$41,307 거래량
35%
로버트 F. 케네디 주니어
$63,631 거래량
28%
존 래트클리프
$0 거래량
27%
톰 호만
$58 거래량
26%
스티븐 밀러
$810 거래량
21%
스콧 베센트
$853 거래량
18%
마르코 루비오
$3,134 거래량
16%
러셀 보트
$134 거래량
26%
댄 스카비노
$31 거래량
32%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent firings of Attorney General Pam Bondi and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early April 2026—amid reported performance disputes and internal tensions—have intensified trader consensus on elevated turnover risks in the Trump administration, mirroring the first term's sky-high departure rates. President Trump is openly considering further Cabinet shake-ups, with speculation centering on FBI Director Kash Patel due to policy clashes over national security and counterterrorism, as seen in March's resignation of top counterterrorism official Joe Kent. Upcoming Senate confirmation hearings for replacements and the 2026 midterms could prompt additional exits or stabilize the lineup, while historical patterns show over 80% Cabinet turnover by a president's third year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
거래량
$968,216종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent firings of Attorney General Pam Bondi and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early April 2026—amid reported performance disputes and internal tensions—have intensified trader consensus on elevated turnover risks in the Trump administration, mirroring the first term's sky-high departure rates. President Trump is openly considering further Cabinet shake-ups, with speculation centering on FBI Director Kash Patel due to policy clashes over national security and counterterrorism, as seen in March's resignation of top counterterrorism official Joe Kent. Upcoming Senate confirmation hearings for replacements and the 2026 midterms could prompt additional exits or stabilize the lineup, while historical patterns show over 80% Cabinet turnover by a president's third year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
거래량
$968,216종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent firings of Attorney General Pam Bondi and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early April 2026—amid reported performance disputes and internal tensions—have intensified trader consensus on elevated turnover risks in the Trump administration, mirroring the first term's sky-high departure rates. President Trump is openly considering further Cabinet shake-ups, with speculation centering on FBI Director Kash Patel due to policy clashes over national security and counterterrorism, as seen in March's resignation of top counterterrorism official Joe Kent. Upcoming Senate confirmation hearings for replacements and the 2026 midterms could prompt additional exits or stabilize the lineup, while historical patterns show over 80% Cabinet turnover by a president's third year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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