President Trump's prolific Truth Social posts amid escalating tensions with Iran—highlighted by April 5 profanity-laced threats to bomb infrastructure unless the Strait of Hormuz reopens—shape trader consensus on whether he will mention specific names through April 30. Recent tirades criticizing Pope Leo and deleted posts underscore his pattern of naming adversaries, boosting expectations for domestic foes like Senate Democrats blocking nominations (e.g., recent Attorney General shakeup with Pam Bondi's April 2 withdrawal) and GOP holdouts on spending votes. Foreign policy friction, including NATO ally critiques, elevates odds for figures like German leader Friedrich Merz. With half the resolution window elapsed and no confirming mentions yet for leaders, congressional sessions and diplomatic updates remain key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$86,178 거래량
2026.04.30
Schumer
62%
Hillary
56%
Homan
56%
Delcy
54%
Bernie
52%
Zohran / Mamdani
44%
Massie
64%
Paxton
45%
Oz
43%
Talarico
43%
Machado
43%
Nicki / Minaj
18%
Bolsonaro
9%
Rand Paul
45%
Warren / Pocahontas
45%
Kavanaugh
43%
Leavitt
38%
Jensen / Huang
46%
Gianni / Infantino
42%
Elon / Musk
42%
Friedrich / Merz
69%
$86,178 거래량
Schumer
$31 거래량
62%
Hillary
$84 거래량
56%
Homan
$625 거래량
56%
Delcy
$143 거래량
54%
Bernie
$0 거래량
52%
Zohran / Mamdani
$52 거래량
44%
Massie
$285 거래량
64%
Paxton
$0 거래량
45%
Oz
$0 거래량
43%
Talarico
$8 거래량
43%
Machado
$0 거래량
43%
Nicki / Minaj
$53 거래량
18%
Bolsonaro
$417 거래량
9%
Rand Paul
$664 거래량
45%
Warren / Pocahontas
$120 거래량
45%
Kavanaugh
$4 거래량
43%
Leavitt
$93 거래량
38%
Jensen / Huang
$43 거래량
46%
Gianni / Infantino
$707 거래량
42%
Elon / Musk
$40 거래량
42%
Friedrich / Merz
$56 거래량
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's prolific Truth Social posts amid escalating tensions with Iran—highlighted by April 5 profanity-laced threats to bomb infrastructure unless the Strait of Hormuz reopens—shape trader consensus on whether he will mention specific names through April 30. Recent tirades criticizing Pope Leo and deleted posts underscore his pattern of naming adversaries, boosting expectations for domestic foes like Senate Democrats blocking nominations (e.g., recent Attorney General shakeup with Pam Bondi's April 2 withdrawal) and GOP holdouts on spending votes. Foreign policy friction, including NATO ally critiques, elevates odds for figures like German leader Friedrich Merz. With half the resolution window elapsed and no confirming mentions yet for leaders, congressional sessions and diplomatic updates remain key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
마켓 개설일: Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
거래량
$86,178종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's prolific Truth Social posts amid escalating tensions with Iran—highlighted by April 5 profanity-laced threats to bomb infrastructure unless the Strait of Hormuz reopens—shape trader consensus on whether he will mention specific names through April 30. Recent tirades criticizing Pope Leo and deleted posts underscore his pattern of naming adversaries, boosting expectations for domestic foes like Senate Democrats blocking nominations (e.g., recent Attorney General shakeup with Pam Bondi's April 2 withdrawal) and GOP holdouts on spending votes. Foreign policy friction, including NATO ally critiques, elevates odds for figures like German leader Friedrich Merz. With half the resolution window elapsed and no confirming mentions yet for leaders, congressional sessions and diplomatic updates remain key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
거래량
$86,178종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's prolific Truth Social posts amid escalating tensions with Iran—highlighted by April 5 profanity-laced threats to bomb infrastructure unless the Strait of Hormuz reopens—shape trader consensus on whether he will mention specific names through April 30. Recent tirades criticizing Pope Leo and deleted posts underscore his pattern of naming adversaries, boosting expectations for domestic foes like Senate Democrats blocking nominations (e.g., recent Attorney General shakeup with Pam Bondi's April 2 withdrawal) and GOP holdouts on spending votes. Foreign policy friction, including NATO ally critiques, elevates odds for figures like German leader Friedrich Merz. With half the resolution window elapsed and no confirming mentions yet for leaders, congressional sessions and diplomatic updates remain key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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