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정치·트럼프

2027년 이전에 트럼프는 누구를 용서할 것인가?

Market icon
정치·트럼프

2027년 이전에 트럼프는 누구를 용서할 것인가?

$202,416 거래량

2026.12.31
Polymarket

$202,416 거래량

Polymarket

맷 게이츠

$0 거래량

65%

도널드 브로디

$0 거래량

63%

스테판 브로디

$0 거래량

61%

다니엘 페니

$11 거래량

35%

스티브 배넌

$6,140 거래량

24%

로저 스톤

$0 거래량

22%

로저 버

$0 거래량

16%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,207 거래량

24%

라이언 살라메

$15,172 거래량

21%

에릭 아담스

$76 거래량

14%

영 떡

$4,105 거래량

14%

엘리자베스 홈스

$1,001 거래량

12%

에드워드 스노든

$1,755 거래량

11%

마틴 슈크렐리

$18,442 거래량

10%

니콜라스 마두로

$5,990 거래량

10%

조 이그조틱

$330 거래량

9%

밥 메넨데즈

$0 거래량

15%

샘 뱅크먼-프리드

$35,094 거래량

8%

일론 머스크

$49,096 거래량

7%

자신

$2,458 거래량

7%

줄리안 어산지

$1,506 거래량

7%

디디

$6,554 거래량

6%

기슬레인 맥스웰

$9,641 거래량

6%

데릭 쇼빈

$17,901 거래량

6%

도권

$15,890 거래량

6%

앙투안 매시

$0 거래량

5%

헌터 바이든

$2,046 거래량

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump has issued over 1,600 pardons and commutations since his January 2025 inauguration, including a mass clemency for January 6 Capitol event defendants, allies like Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, Ross Ulbricht, and numerous white-collar offenders, far exceeding prior presidents' records. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting from early April 2026 revealed Trump's promises of sweeping pardons for administration officials within "200 feet of the Oval Office" before term's end, fueling trader bets on remaining high-profile figures facing federal charges such as Matt Gaetz, crypto executives, and Bob Menendez. Markets reflect this skin-in-the-game consensus amid ongoing DOJ cases, with probabilities sensitive to new indictments, sentencings, or White House announcements before January 1, 2027 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$202,416
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump has issued over 1,600 pardons and commutations since his January 2025 inauguration, including a mass clemency for January 6 Capitol event defendants, allies like Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, Ross Ulbricht, and numerous white-collar offenders, far exceeding prior presidents' records. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting from early April 2026 revealed Trump's promises of sweeping pardons for administration officials within "200 feet of the Oval Office" before term's end, fueling trader bets on remaining high-profile figures facing federal charges such as Matt Gaetz, crypto executives, and Bob Menendez. Markets reflect this skin-in-the-game consensus amid ongoing DOJ cases, with probabilities sensitive to new indictments, sentencings, or White House announcements before January 1, 2027 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$202,416
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"2027년 이전에 트럼프는 누구를 용서할 것인가?"은 27개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 65%의 "맷 게이츠"이며, 이어서 63%의 "도널드 브로디"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 65¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 65%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "2027년 이전에 트럼프는 누구를 용서할 것인가?"은 총 $202.4K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Nov 18, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"2027년 이전에 트럼프는 누구를 용서할 것인가?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 27개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2027년 이전에 트럼프는 누구를 용서할 것인가?"의 현재 유력 후보는 65%의 "맷 게이츠"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 65%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 63%의 "도널드 브로디"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"2027년 이전에 트럼프는 누구를 용서할 것인가?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.