Latest polls, including AtlasIntel's April 6-9 survey, show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda leading Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote at around 39-41%, trailed by right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella (27-29%) and Paloma Valencia (24%), with the field of 14 candidates fragmenting support and no one nearing the 50%+1 threshold required for an outright win. March 8 legislative elections delivered a divided Congress, while primaries solidified Cepeda and Valencia as frontrunners without consolidating voter blocs. Historical precedent—runoffs in both 2018 and 2022—combined with persistent polarization reinforces trader consensus at 93.5% "No," though a late consolidation or scandal could theoretically shift dynamics before the June 21 runoff deadline if triggered.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$36,071 거래량
$36,071 거래량
2026.05.31
예
$36,071 거래량
$36,071 거래량
2026.05.31
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Latest polls, including AtlasIntel's April 6-9 survey, show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda leading Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote at around 39-41%, trailed by right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella (27-29%) and Paloma Valencia (24%), with the field of 14 candidates fragmenting support and no one nearing the 50%+1 threshold required for an outright win. March 8 legislative elections delivered a divided Congress, while primaries solidified Cepeda and Valencia as frontrunners without consolidating voter blocs. Historical precedent—runoffs in both 2018 and 2022—combined with persistent polarization reinforces trader consensus at 93.5% "No," though a late consolidation or scandal could theoretically shift dynamics before the June 21 runoff deadline if triggered.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
거래량
$36,071종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Latest polls, including AtlasIntel's April 6-9 survey, show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda leading Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote at around 39-41%, trailed by right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella (27-29%) and Paloma Valencia (24%), with the field of 14 candidates fragmenting support and no one nearing the 50%+1 threshold required for an outright win. March 8 legislative elections delivered a divided Congress, while primaries solidified Cepeda and Valencia as frontrunners without consolidating voter blocs. Historical precedent—runoffs in both 2018 and 2022—combined with persistent polarization reinforces trader consensus at 93.5% "No," though a late consolidation or scandal could theoretically shift dynamics before the June 21 runoff deadline if triggered.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$36,071종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Latest polls, including AtlasIntel's April 6-9 survey, show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda leading Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote at around 39-41%, trailed by right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella (27-29%) and Paloma Valencia (24%), with the field of 14 candidates fragmenting support and no one nearing the 50%+1 threshold required for an outright win. March 8 legislative elections delivered a divided Congress, while primaries solidified Cepeda and Valencia as frontrunners without consolidating voter blocs. Historical precedent—runoffs in both 2018 and 2022—combined with persistent polarization reinforces trader consensus at 93.5% "No," though a late consolidation or scandal could theoretically shift dynamics before the June 21 runoff deadline if triggered.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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