Trader consensus reflects 93.5% implied probability against President Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, anchored by the absence of impeachment proceedings, health disclosures, or official statements signaling early departure during his second term. Recent public appearances, including a White House press gaggle on April 11 and threats on April 15 to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell amid a DOJ probe, underscore his assertive executive actions and control over administration turnover, such as replacing Attorney General Pam Bondi earlier in April. Partisan predictions like James Carville's post-midterm resignation theory lack substantiation from primary sources. Late-breaking scandals, congressional shifts after November midterms, or unforeseen legal developments could alter this positioning, though historical precedents favor full-term service absent crisis.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$431,570 거래량
$431,570 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$431,570 거래량
$431,570 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects 93.5% implied probability against President Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, anchored by the absence of impeachment proceedings, health disclosures, or official statements signaling early departure during his second term. Recent public appearances, including a White House press gaggle on April 11 and threats on April 15 to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell amid a DOJ probe, underscore his assertive executive actions and control over administration turnover, such as replacing Attorney General Pam Bondi earlier in April. Partisan predictions like James Carville's post-midterm resignation theory lack substantiation from primary sources. Late-breaking scandals, congressional shifts after November midterms, or unforeseen legal developments could alter this positioning, though historical precedents favor full-term service absent crisis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
거래량
$431,570종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects 93.5% implied probability against President Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, anchored by the absence of impeachment proceedings, health disclosures, or official statements signaling early departure during his second term. Recent public appearances, including a White House press gaggle on April 11 and threats on April 15 to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell amid a DOJ probe, underscore his assertive executive actions and control over administration turnover, such as replacing Attorney General Pam Bondi earlier in April. Partisan predictions like James Carville's post-midterm resignation theory lack substantiation from primary sources. Late-breaking scandals, congressional shifts after November midterms, or unforeseen legal developments could alter this positioning, though historical precedents favor full-term service absent crisis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$431,570종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus reflects 93.5% implied probability against President Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, anchored by the absence of impeachment proceedings, health disclosures, or official statements signaling early departure during his second term. Recent public appearances, including a White House press gaggle on April 11 and threats on April 15 to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell amid a DOJ probe, underscore his assertive executive actions and control over administration turnover, such as replacing Attorney General Pam Bondi earlier in April. Partisan predictions like James Carville's post-midterm resignation theory lack substantiation from primary sources. Late-breaking scandals, congressional shifts after November midterms, or unforeseen legal developments could alter this positioning, though historical precedents favor full-term service absent crisis.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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