Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination in Alabama's 1st Congressional District through a decisive August 2026 special primary victory, backed by prior congressional experience and endorsements that consolidated support in a field of multiple GOP contenders. The district's established partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent implied probability. Clyde Jones advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee but confronts structural barriers including voter registration patterns and historical turnout gaps. Factors that could narrow the margin include a late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national midterm shift, or unusually elevated Democratic participation in the Mobile and Baldwin County areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$47,789 Wol.
$47,789 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
2%
$47,789 Wol.
$47,789 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
$21,382 Wol.
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
$26,406 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination in Alabama's 1st Congressional District through a decisive August 2026 special primary victory, backed by prior congressional experience and endorsements that consolidated support in a field of multiple GOP contenders. The district's established partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent implied probability. Clyde Jones advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee but confronts structural barriers including voter registration patterns and historical turnout gaps. Factors that could narrow the margin include a late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national midterm shift, or unusually elevated Democratic participation in the Mobile and Baldwin County areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Wolumen
$47,789Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination in Alabama's 1st Congressional District through a decisive August 2026 special primary victory, backed by prior congressional experience and endorsements that consolidated support in a field of multiple GOP contenders. The district's established partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent implied probability. Clyde Jones advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee but confronts structural barriers including voter registration patterns and historical turnout gaps. Factors that could narrow the margin include a late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national midterm shift, or unusually elevated Democratic participation in the Mobile and Baldwin County areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$47,789Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination in Alabama's 1st Congressional District through a decisive August 2026 special primary victory, backed by prior congressional experience and endorsements that consolidated support in a field of multiple GOP contenders. The district's established partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent implied probability. Clyde Jones advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee but confronts structural barriers including voter registration patterns and historical turnout gaps. Factors that could narrow the margin include a late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national midterm shift, or unusually elevated Democratic participation in the Mobile and Baldwin County areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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